Manchester United 1-2 Leeds
Key numbers
- Possession 53% – 47%
- Shots 20 (9 on target) – 15 (6)
- Decisive moment: 5' Noah Okafor, FN xPts +0.7
Casemiro 69'
HT 0:2
Noah Okafor 5'
Noah Okafor 29'
Noah Okafor 29'
Manchester United 3rd · 55 pts|Leeds 15th · 36 pts
Leeds won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.27–2.57).
Player of the matchNoah OkaforDecisive moment5' Noah Okafor+0.7
Player of the match
Noah Okafor Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.1 (Dominant)
Game state
Manchester United ahead 0 min · level 5 min · Leeds ahead 85 min
- Manchester United: Red card 56' → ~34 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
5'
Noah Okafor
Goal
+0.7
29'
Noah Okafor
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Brenden Aaronson +0.2
+0.7
56'
Lisandro Martínez
Red card
−0.1
69'
Casemiro
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Bruno Fernandes +0.1
+0.3
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −1.3Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
Leeds
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −0.2Time effect +0.9→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Manchester UnitedLeeds
53%Possession47%
1.27Expected goals (xG)2.57
0.06xG per shot0.17
20Shots15
9Shots on target6
45%Shots on target %40%
15Shots in box11
497Passes453
85%Pass accuracy83%
11Corners4
3Saves6
12Fouls15
3Yellow cards2
1Offsides0
Compared with usual
Manchester United
33 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 1.27 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 2.57 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 20 | 16.3 | |
| On target | 9 | 5.9 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 11 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 53% | 53.9% | |
| Passes | 497 | 474.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 82.4% | |
| Corners | 11 | 4.6 | high |
| Fouls | 12 | 9.6 |
Leeds
36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 2.57 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.27 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 15 | 13.6 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.3 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 12 | |
| xG per shot | 0.17 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 47% | 47.2% | |
| Passes | 453 | 411.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 79.1% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.9 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 10.5 |
Timeline
- 5' Goal Noah Okafor league goal #5
- 18' Yellow Matheus Cunha
- 29' Goal Noah Okafor league goal #6 assist Brenden Aaronson
- 39' Yellow James Justin
- 49' Yellow Luke Shaw
- 55' VAR Lisandro Martínez
- 56' Red Lisandro Martínez
- 64' Yellow Bruno Fernandes
- 69' Goal Casemiro league goal #8 assist Bruno Fernandes
- 70' Sub Noussair Mazraoui → Diogo Dalot
- 70' Sub Amad Diallo → Bryan Mbeumo
- 74' Sub Ao Tanaka → Ilia Gruev
- 74' Sub Noah Okafor → Wilfried Gnonto
- 86' Yellow Ethan Ampadu
- 86' Sub Brenden Aaronson → Sean Longstaff
Category leaders
- Key passesBruno Fernandes5
- Duels wonLeny Yoro9/12
- DribblesLuke Shaw3/4
- Defensive actionsManuel Ugarte8
- ShotsDominic Calvert-Lewin4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonCasemiro4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.