Nottingham Forest 1-0 FC Porto
Key numbers
- Possession 61% – 39%
- Shots 20 (5 on target) – 10 (1)
- Decisive moment: 12' Morgan Gibbs-White, FN xPts +0.5
Morgan Gibbs-White 12'
HT 1:0
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.17–0.97).
Player of the matchNeco WilliamsDecisive moment12' Morgan Gibbs-White+0.5
Player of the match
Neco Williams Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.2 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 78 min · level 12 min · FC Porto ahead 0 min
- FC Porto: Red card 8' → ~82 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
8'
Jan Bednarek
Red card
−0.4
12'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Neco Williams +0.2
+0.5
Knockout ties have no league points, so moments are weighed on a win-3/draw-1 scale only.
Pre-match expectation for FC Porto is an estimate: no top-five-league record, so it uses the published starting values.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestFC Porto
61%Possession39%
2.17Expected goals (xG)0.97
0.11xG per shot0.1
20Shots10
5Shots on target1
25%Shots on target %10%
11Shots in box4
522Passes334
89%Pass accuracy78%
8Corners1
1Saves4
16Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
2Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
47 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 2.17 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.97 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 20 | 14.2 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 11.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 61% | 49.2% | |
| Passes | 522 | 442.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 82.4% | |
| Corners | 8 | 5.5 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 11.6 |
FC Porto
11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.82 | |
| xG | 0.97 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 2.17 | 0.89 | high |
| Shots | 10 | 14.6 | |
| On target | 1 | 5.5 | low |
| Shots faced | 20 | 10.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 39% | 52.9% | |
| Passes | 334 | 447.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 83.6% | |
| Corners | 1 | 5.5 | low |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.2 |
Timeline
- 7' VAR Jan Bednarek
- 8' Red Jan Bednarek
- 12' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White competition goal #3 assist Neco Williams
- 16' Sub Chris Wood → Igor Jesus
- 32' Yellow Terem Moffi
- 36' Yellow Alberto Costa
- 40' Yellow Omari Hutchinson
- 46' Sub Omari Hutchinson → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 46' Sub Gabri Veiga → Jakub Kiwior
- 46' Sub Zaidu Sanusi → Francisco Moura
- 46' Sub Borja Sainz → Alan Varela
- 46' Sub Alberto Costa → Victor Froholdt
- 65' Sub Dan Ndoye → Nikola Milenković
- 66' Sub Terem Moffi → Deniz Gül
- 72' Sub → Dilane Bakwa
- 72' Sub Murillo → Morato
- 90' Yellow William Gomes
Category leaders
- Key passesNeco Williams4
- Duels wonNeco Williams9/15
- DribblesNeco Williams3/5
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams6
- ShotsIgor Jesus4 (on target 3)
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.