Nottingham Forest 4-1 Burnley
Key numbers
- Possession 51% – 49%
- Shots 10 (4 on target) – 4 (3)
- Decisive moment: 69' Morgan Gibbs-White, FN xPts +1.2
Morgan Gibbs-White 62'
Morgan Gibbs-White 69'
Morgan Gibbs-White 77'
Igor Jesus 90'
Morgan Gibbs-White 69'
Morgan Gibbs-White 77'
Igor Jesus 90'
HT 0:1
Zian Flemming 45'
Nottingham Forest 16th · 36 pts|Burnley 19th · 20 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.19–0.36).
Player of the matchMorgan Gibbs-WhiteDecisive moment69' Morgan Gibbs-White+1.2
Player of the match
Morgan Gibbs-White Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.0 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 21 min · level 52 min · Burnley ahead 17 min
- Igor Jesus — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
- Ryan Yates — off the bench 14 min · 0G 1A
- Nicolás Domínguez — off the bench 10 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
45'
Zian Flemming
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Quilindschy Hartman +0.3
+1.0
62'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal
+0.9
69'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Omari Hutchinson +0.4
+1.2
77'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Ryan Yates +0.1
+0.3
90'
Igor Jesus
Goal · assist Nicolás Domínguez
0.0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +2.4Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3
Burnley
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −2.1Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestBurnley
51%Possession49%
1.19Expected goals (xG)0.36
0.12xG per shot0.09
10Shots4
4Shots on target3
40%Shots on target %75%
8Shots in box3
474Passes453
82%Pass accuracy82%
4Corners4
2Saves1
8Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
2Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
48 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.19 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.36 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 10 | 14.3 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.8 | |
| Shots faced | 4 | 11.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 51% | 49.5% | |
| Passes | 474 | 444.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82.5% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.6 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 11.7 |
Burnley
36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 0.36 | 0.92 | |
| xG against | 1.19 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 4 | 10.1 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.4 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 15.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 49% | 43.3% | |
| Passes | 453 | 398.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 78.1% | |
| Corners | 4 | 3.9 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 10 |
Timeline
- 42' Sub Murillo → Jair
- 45' Goal Zian Flemming league goal #9 assist Quilindschy Hartman
- 46' Sub Dilane Bakwa → Igor Jesus
- 62' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #10
- 64' Sub Marcus Edwards → Lyle Foster
- 69' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #11 assist Omari Hutchinson
- 75' Yellow Florentino Luís
- 76' Sub Chris Wood → Ryan Yates
- 76' Sub Lesley Ugochukwu → Jacob Bruun Larsen
- 77' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #12 assist Ryan Yates
- 80' Yellow Kyle Walker
- 83' Sub Jaidon Anthony → Loum Tchaouna
- 83' Sub Florentino Luís → Josh Laurent
- 84' Sub Zian Flemming → Armando Broja
- 88' Sub Omari Hutchinson → Morato
- 89' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Nicolás Domínguez
- 90' Goal Igor Jesus league goal #4 assist Nicolás Domínguez
Category leaders
- Duels wonElliot Anderson12/21
- DribblesElliot Anderson3/4
- Defensive actionsQuilindschy Hartman7
- ShotsMorgan Gibbs-White5 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonElliot Anderson3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.