Bundesliga · Matchweek 30
Raphael Guerreiro 31'
Nicolas Jackson 33'
Alphonso Davies 37'
Harry Kane 52'
HT 3:1
Chris Führich 21'
Chema Andrés 88'
Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 16:30 (UK) · Allianz Arena, Munich
Bayern München · 79 pts|VfB Stuttgart · 56 pts

Bayern München won on the scoreboard and on xG (4.61–1.35).

Player of the matchAlphonso Davies8.2Decisive moment31' Raphael Guerreiro+0.7

Bayern München 4-2 VfB Stuttgart

Key numbers

  • Possession 66% – 34%
  • Shots 28 (9 on target) – 11 (7)
  • Decisive moment: 31' Raphael Guerreiro, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Alphonso Davies 8.2Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)

Game state

0-11-12-13-14-14-2
Bayern München ahead 57 min · level 23 min · VfB Stuttgart ahead 10 min
  • Harry Kane — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
  • Chema Andrés — off the bench 25 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

21' Chris Führich Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Bilal El Khannouss +0.2 +0.6
31' Raphael Guerreiro Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Jamal Musiala +0.2 +0.7
33' Nicolas Jackson Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Luis Díaz +0.2 +0.5
37' Alphonso Davies Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Luis Díaz +0.1 +0.3
52' Harry Kane Goal +0.1
88' Chema Andrés Goal · assist Atakan Karazor 0.0
Bayern München Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
VfB Stuttgart Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.3Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
66%Possession34%
4.61Expected goals (xG)1.35
0.16xG per shot0.12
28Shots11
9Shots on target7
32%Shots on target %64%
22Shots in box7
672Passes335
91%Pass accuracy81%
11Corners3
5Saves4
6Fouls3
0Yellow cards0
6Offsides1

Compared with usual

Bayern München

45 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals43.4
Conceded21
xG4.612.7
xG against1.351.1
Shots2818.7
On target98.6
Shots faced1110.5
xG per shot0.160.14
Possession66%65.1%
Passes672677.8
Pass accuracy91%89.2%
Corners116
Fouls69.7

VfB Stuttgart

45 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22
Conceded41.2
xG1.351.6
xG against4.611.2high
Shots1116.2
On target76.1
Shots faced2811.8high
xG per shot0.120.1
Possession34%59.5%low
Passes335536.4low
Pass accuracy81%84.2%
Corners35.7
Fouls310.8low

Timeline

  • 21' Goal Chris Führich league goal #6 assist Bilal El Khannouss
  • 31' Goal Raphael Guerreiro league goal #5 assist Jamal Musiala
  • 33' Goal Nicolas Jackson league goal #6 assist Luis Díaz
  • 37' Goal Alphonso Davies league goal #1 assist Luis Díaz
  • 46' Sub Luis Díaz → Michael Olise
  • 46' Sub Jamal Musiala → Harry Kane
  • 46' Sub Finn Jeltsch → Luca Jaquez
  • 52' Goal Harry Kane league goal #32
  • 62' Sub Alphonso Davies → Konrad Laimer
  • 65' Sub Chris Führich → Maximilian Mittelstädt
  • 65' Sub Angelo Stiller → Chema Andrés
  • 76' Sub Raphael Guerreiro → Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
  • 76' Sub Jamie Leweling → Ermedin Demirović
  • 85' Sub Josip Stanišić → Deniz Ofli
  • 85' Sub Tiago Tomás → Badredine Bouanani
  • 88' Goal Chema Andrés league goal #2 assist Atakan Karazor

Category leaders

  • Key passesJoshua Kimmich4
  • Duels wonAtakan Karazor10/12
  • DribblesAlphonso Davies3/4
  • Defensive actionsJeff Chabot8
  • ShotsMichael Olise3 (on target 2)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.