Chelsea 1-3 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 67% – 33%
- Shots 21 (5 on target) – 6 (4)
- Decisive moment: 2' Taiwo Awoniyi, FN xPts +0.7
João Pedro 90'
HT 0:2
Taiwo Awoniyi 2'
Igor Jesus 15' (pen)
Taiwo Awoniyi 52'
Igor Jesus 15' (pen)
Taiwo Awoniyi 52'
Chelsea 9th · 48 pts|Nottingham Forest 16th · 42 pts
Chelsea edged xG (2.15–2.05) but Nottingham Forest took the win.
Player of the matchTaiwo AwoniyiDecisive moment2' Taiwo Awoniyi+0.7
Player of the match
Taiwo Awoniyi Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
Chelsea ahead 0 min · level 2 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 88 min
- Morgan Gibbs-White — off the bench 21 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
2'
Taiwo Awoniyi
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Dilane Bakwa +0.2
+0.7
15'
Igor Jesus
Pen goal
+0.6
52'
Taiwo Awoniyi
Goal · assist Morgan Gibbs-White
+0.2
90'
João Pedro
Goal · assist Marc Cucurella
0.0
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.3Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +1.5Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ChelseaNottingham Forest
67%Possession33%
2.15Expected goals (xG)2.05
0.1xG per shot0.34
21Shots6
5Shots on target4
24%Shots on target %67%
12Shots in box6
659Passes334
91%Pass accuracy80%
10Corners1
1Saves4
12Fouls10
3Yellow cards1
1Offsides2
Compared with usual
Chelsea
54 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 2.15 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 2.05 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 21 | 14.2 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 6 | 10.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 67% | 58.7% | |
| Passes | 659 | 561 | |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 87.4% | |
| Corners | 10 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 10.9 |
Nottingham Forest
51 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.05 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 2.15 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 6 | 14.1 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.8 | |
| Shots faced | 21 | 11.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.34 | 0.1 | high |
| Possession | 33% | 49.3% | |
| Passes | 334 | 440.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82.4% | |
| Corners | 1 | 5.5 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11.6 |
Timeline
- 2' Goal Taiwo Awoniyi league goal #3 assist Dilane Bakwa
- 10' Yellow Morato
- 13' VAR Taiwo Awoniyi
- 14' Yellow Malo Gusto
- 15' Goal Igor Jesus (pen) league goal #6
- 45+5' Sub Zach Abbott → Neco Williams
- 45+9' Sub Jesse Derry → Liam Delap
- 46' Sub Tosin Adarabioyo → Levi Colwill
- 46' Sub Jair → Nikola Milenković
- 46' Sub Igor Jesus → Morgan Gibbs-White
- 46' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Elliot Anderson
- 52' Goal Taiwo Awoniyi league goal #4 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 58' Sub Roméo Lavia → Andrey Santos
- 66' Sub Robert Sánchez → Filip Jørgensen
- 66' Sub → Chris Wood
- 75' VAR João Pedro
- 78' Yellow Liam Delap
- 78' Yellow Moisés Caicedo
- 80' Sub Dilane Bakwa → Omari Hutchinson
- 90' Goal João Pedro league goal #15 assist Marc Cucurella
Category leaders
- Key passesEnzo Fernández7
- Duels wonJoão Pedro9/17
- DribblesJoão Pedro4/6
- Defensive actionsLuca Netz7
- ShotsCole Palmer3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonDilane Bakwa3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.