RB Leipzig 2-1 FC St. Pauli
Key numbers
- Possession 70% – 30%
- Shots 13 (5 on target) – 8 (3)
- Decisive moment: 45' Xaver Schlager, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Willi Orbán 8.8Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)
Game state
1-02-02-1
RB Leipzig ahead 45 min · level 45 min · FC St. Pauli ahead 0 min
- Abdoulie Ceesay — off the bench 18 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
45'
Xaver Schlager
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Christoph Baumgartner +0.3
+0.9
54'
Willi Orbán
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist David Raum +0.1
+0.3
86'
Abdoulie Ceesay
Goal · assist Jackson Irvine
+0.1
RB Leipzig
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −0.1Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
FC St. Pauli
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.1Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
RB LeipzigFC St. Pauli
1.37Expected goals (xG)0.79
Compared with usual
RB Leipzig
36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.37 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 0.79 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 13 | 16 | |
| On target | 5 | 6.1 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 12.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 70% | 53.6% | |
| Passes | 732 | 496.3 | high |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 84.3% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.5 | |
| Fouls | 5 | 9.4 | |
FC St. Pauli
36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0.83 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 0.79 | 0.8 | |
| xG against | 1.37 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 8 | 11.4 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.8 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 11.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.07 | |
| Possession | 30% | 45.7% | |
| Passes | 299 | 457.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 71% | 77.9% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 9.9 | |
Timeline
- 19'
Yellow
Castello Lukeba
- 45'
Goal
Xaver Schlager league goal #3 assist Christoph Baumgartner
- 50'
Yellow
Christoph Baumgartner
- 54'
Goal
Willi Orbán league goal #2 assist David Raum
- 64'
Sub
Lars Ritzka → Hauke Wahl
- 64'
Sub
Louis Oppie → Fin Stevens
- 69'
Sub
David Raum → Max Finkgräfe
- 69'
Sub
Assan Ouédraogo → Nicolas Seiwald
- 72'
Sub
Andreas Hountondji → Abdoulie Ceesay
- 79'
Sub
Brajan Gruda → Antonio Nusa
- 86'
Goal
Abdoulie Ceesay league goal #2 assist Jackson Irvine
- 89'
Sub
Connor Metcalfe → Danel Sinani
- 89'
Sub
Eric Smith → Mathias Rasmussen
- 90+1'
Sub
Ridle Baku → Benjamin Henrichs
Category leaders
- Key passesDavid Raum3
- Duels wonJoel Chima Fujita13/21
- DribblesYan Diomande6/9
- Defensive actionsJoel Chima Fujita12
- ShotsChristoph Baumgartner3 (on target 1)
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.