Premier League · Matchweek 36
Jaidon Anthony 8'
Zian Flemming 58'
HT 1:1
Ross Barkley 42'
Ollie Watkins 56'
Sun, 10 May 2026, 14:00 (UK) · Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley 19th · 21 pts|Aston Villa 5th · 59 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 1.79–1.44.

Player of the matchRoss Barkley7.7Decisive moment56' Ollie Watkins+1.1

Burnley 2-2 Aston Villa

Key numbers

  • Possession 34% – 66%
  • Shots 15 (6 on target) – 18 (7)
  • Decisive moment: 56' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +1.1
Player of the match
Ross Barkley 7.7Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)

Game state

1-01-11-22-2
Burnley ahead 34 min · level 54 min · Aston Villa ahead 2 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

8' Jaidon Anthony Goal +0.8
42' Ross Barkley Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist John McGinn +0.2 +0.8
56' Ollie Watkins Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Emiliano Martínez +0.3 +1.1
58' Zian Flemming Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Hannibal Mejbri +0.2 +0.8
Burnley Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.8Time effect 0.0→ League points won 1
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.6→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BurnleyAston Villa
34%Possession66%
1.79Expected goals (xG)1.44
0.12xG per shot0.08
15Shots18
6Shots on target7
40%Shots on target %39%
7Shots in box10
260Passes528
74%Pass accuracy86%
2Corners8
5Saves4
18Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

Burnley

39 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.1
Conceded22
xG1.790.89
xG against1.441.8
Shots159.8
On target63.3
Shots faced1816.1
xG per shot0.120.09
Possession34%43.5%
Passes260401.7
Pass accuracy74%78.3%
Corners23.7
Fouls1810.1high

Aston Villa

52 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.5
Conceded21.1
xG1.441.3
xG against1.791.3
Shots1812.4
On target74.6
Shots faced1512.2
xG per shot0.080.11
Possession66%53.6%
Passes528453.5
Pass accuracy86%84.8%
Corners85.1
Fouls810.3

Timeline

  • 8' Goal Jaidon Anthony league goal #8
  • 40' VAR Ollie Watkins
  • 42' Goal Ross Barkley league goal #3 assist John McGinn
  • 49' Yellow Tyrone Mings
  • 56' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #12 assist Emiliano Martínez
  • 58' Goal Zian Flemming league goal #10 assist Hannibal Mejbri
  • 60' Yellow Zian Flemming
  • 69' Sub Hannibal Mejbri → Lyle Foster
  • 74' Sub Ian Maatsen → Lucas Digne
  • 74' Sub Victor Lindelöf → Emiliano Buendía
  • 79' Sub Lesley Ugochukwu → Josh Laurent
  • 79' Sub Zian Flemming → Zeki Amdouni
  • 80' Sub Ross Barkley → Douglas Luiz
  • 80' Sub Matty Cash → Lamare Bogarde
  • 85' Sub John McGinn → Leon Bailey
  • 87' Sub Florentino Luís → James Ward-Prowse
  • 87' Sub Jaidon Anthony → Jacob Bruun Larsen

Category leaders

  • Key passesHannibal Mejbri4
  • Duels wonYouri Tielemans7/11
  • DribblesLucas Pires3/3
  • Defensive actionsKyle Walker6
  • ShotsRoss Barkley4 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonEzri Konsa5

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.