Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle
Key numbers
- Possession 46% – 54%
- Shots 17 (6 on target) – 16 (6)
- Decisive moment: 74' Harvey Barnes, FN xPts +1.4
Elliot Anderson 88'
HT 0:0
Harvey Barnes 74'
Nottingham Forest 16th → 14th · 43 pts|Newcastle 13th · 46 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 1.1–1.48.
Player of the matchBruno GuimarãesDecisive moment74' Harvey Barnes+1.4
Player of the match
Bruno Guimarães Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 76 min · Newcastle ahead 14 min
- James McAtee — off the bench 15 min · 0G 1A
- Jacob Ramsey — off the bench 29 min · 0G 1A
- Harvey Barnes — off the bench 29 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
74'
Harvey Barnes
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Jacob Ramsey +0.4
+1.4
88'
Elliot Anderson
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist James McAtee +0.3
+1.0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.4→ League points won 1
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −1.7Time effect 0.0→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestNewcastle
46%Possession54%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.48
0.06xG per shot0.09
17Shots16
6Shots on target6
35%Shots on target %38%
11Shots in box7
421Passes495
81%Pass accuracy85%
2Corners1
5Saves5
16Fouls11
2Yellow cards0
1Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
53 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.1 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.48 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 17 | 13.8 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 11.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 46% | 49% | |
| Passes | 421 | 437.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82.3% | |
| Corners | 2 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 11.6 |
Newcastle
55 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.48 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 1.1 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 16 | 13.5 | |
| On target | 6 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 12.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 54% | 51.7% | |
| Passes | 495 | 446 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 82.1% | |
| Corners | 1 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 9.9 |
Timeline
- 46' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ryan Yates
- 49' Yellow Igor Jesus
- 54' Yellow Ryan Yates
- 61' Sub Nick Woltemade → Jacob Ramsey
- 61' Sub Jacob Murphy → Harvey Barnes
- 64' Sub Dilane Bakwa → Omari Hutchinson
- 71' Sub William Osula → Yoane Wissa
- 73' Sub Taiwo Awoniyi → Chris Wood
- 74' Goal Harvey Barnes league goal #7 assist Jacob Ramsey
- 83' Sub Luca Netz → James McAtee
- 83' Sub Igor Jesus → Lorenzo Lucca
- 88' Goal Elliot Anderson league goal #4 assist James McAtee
- 90+5' Sub Bruno Guimarães → Kieran Trippier
Category leaders
- Key passesBruno Guimarães3
- Duels wonSven Botman9/10
- DribblesJoelinton3/6
- Defensive actionsSven Botman6
- ShotsBruno Guimarães4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonBruno Guimarães5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.