Bundesliga · Matchweek 33
HT 0:0
Michael Olise 56'
Sat, 9 May 2026, 17:30 (UK) · Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg · 26 pts|Bayern München · 86 pts

VfL Wolfsburg edged xG (3.04–1.85) but Bayern München took the win.

Player of the matchTom Bischof8.6Decisive moment56' Michael Olise+0.7

VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern München

Key numbers

  • Possession 31% – 69%
  • Shots 17 (5 on target) – 16 (9)
  • Decisive moment: 56' Michael Olise, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Tom Bischof 8.6Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)

Game state

0-1
VfL Wolfsburg ahead 0 min · level 56 min · Bayern München ahead 34 min
  • Konrad Laimer — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

56' Michael Olise Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Konrad Laimer +0.2 +0.7
VfL Wolfsburg Expected (last two seasons) 0.4Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.5Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0
Bayern München Expected (last two seasons) 2.5Own moments +0.7Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

VfL WolfsburgBayern München
31%Possession69%
3.04Expected goals (xG)1.85
0.18xG per shot0.12
17Shots16
5Shots on target9
29%Shots on target %56%
14Shots in box9
334Passes771
77%Pass accuracy89%
6Corners3
8Saves5
8Fouls5
1Yellow cards0
2Offsides4

Compared with usual

VfL Wolfsburg

last 33 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.3
Conceded12.1
xG3.041.3
xG against1.851.8
Shots1711.6
On target53.9
Shots faced1615.5
xG per shot0.180.11
Possession31%45.5%
Passes334406.8
Pass accuracy77%78.1%
Corners64.3
Fouls811.8

Bayern München

51 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals13.4
Conceded01.2
xG1.852.6
xG against3.041.1
Shots1618.6
On target98.5
Shots faced1710.7
xG per shot0.120.14
Possession69%65%
Passes771669.1
Pass accuracy89%89.1%
Corners36.1
Fouls59.8

Timeline

  • 35' VAR Michael Olise
  • 46' Sub Leon Goretzka → Konrad Laimer
  • 46' Sub Kim Min-jae → Dayot Upamecano
  • 56' Goal Michael Olise league goal #15 assist Konrad Laimer
  • 60' Sub Nicolas Jackson → Luis Díaz
  • 67' Sub Christian Eriksen → Mattias Svanberg
  • 67' Sub Patrick Wimmer → Lovro Majer
  • 74' Sub Vinícius Souza → Yannick Gerhardt
  • 74' Sub Adam Daghim → Kento Shiogai
  • 76' Sub Jamal Musiala → Lennart Karl
  • 84' Sub Hiroki Itō → Jonathan Tah
  • 90' Sub Saël Kumbedi → Jesper Lindstrøm
  • 90+1' Yellow Kento Shiogai

Category leaders

  • Key passesJamal Musiala4
  • Duels wonMichael Olise8/14
  • DribblesMichael Olise4/4
  • Defensive actionsTom Bischof8
  • ShotsDženan Pejčinović4 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonMichael Olise3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.