Premier League · Matchweek 37
Morgan Rogers 42'
Ollie Watkins 57'
Ollie Watkins 73'
John McGinn 89'
HT 1:0
Virgil van Dijk 52'
Virgil van Dijk 90'
Fri, 15 May 2026, 20:00 (UK) · Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa 5th → 4th · 62 pts|Liverpool 4th → 5th · 59 pts

Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.91–1.55).

Player of the matchOllie Watkins8.8Decisive moment57' Ollie Watkins+1.0

Aston Villa 4-2 Liverpool

Key numbers

  • Possession 45% – 55%
  • Shots 14 (9 on target) – 16 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 57' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Ollie Watkins 8.8Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-13-14-14-2
Aston Villa ahead 43 min · level 47 min · Liverpool ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

42' Morgan Rogers Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Lucas Digne +0.3 +0.9
52' Virgil van Dijk Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Dominik Szoboszlai +0.2 +0.8
57' Ollie Watkins Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Morgan Rogers +0.3 +1.0
73' Ollie Watkins Goal +0.4
89' John McGinn Goal · assist Ollie Watkins 0.0
90' Virgil van Dijk Goal · assist Dominik Szoboszlai 0.0
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.9Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3
Liverpool Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Aston VillaLiverpool
45%Possession55%
1.91Expected goals (xG)1.55
0.14xG per shot0.1
14Shots16
9Shots on target5
64%Shots on target %31%
9Shots in box10
360Passes430
83%Pass accuracy87%
4Corners9
3Saves5
12Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
2Offsides3

Compared with usual

Aston Villa

53 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals41.5
Conceded21.1
xG1.911.3
xG against1.551.3
Shots1412.5
On target94.7
Shots faced1612.2
xG per shot0.140.11
Possession45%53.8%
Passes360454.9
Pass accuracy83%84.8%
Corners45.2
Fouls1210.3

Liverpool

54 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.8
Conceded41.3
xG1.551.7
xG against1.911.1
Shots1615.9
On target55.2
Shots faced1411.1
xG per shot0.10.1
Possession55%57.9%
Passes430527.9
Pass accuracy87%85.5%
Corners96
Fouls910.4

Timeline

  • 39' Yellow Matty Cash
  • 42' Goal Morgan Rogers league goal #10 assist Lucas Digne
  • 45+3' Yellow Ollie Watkins
  • 46' Sub Victor Lindelöf → Ross Barkley
  • 52' Goal Virgil van Dijk league goal #5 assist Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 57' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #13 assist Morgan Rogers
  • 62' Yellow Joe Gomez
  • 66' Yellow John McGinn
  • 66' Sub Joe Gomez → Federico Chiesa
  • 66' Sub Ryan Gravenberch → Florian Wirtz
  • 73' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #14
  • 74' Sub Cody Gakpo → Mohamed Salah
  • 85' Sub Emiliano Buendía → Ian Maatsen
  • 89' Goal John McGinn league goal #5 assist Ollie Watkins
  • 90' Sub Youri Tielemans → Douglas Luiz
  • 90' Sub John McGinn → Jadon Sancho
  • 90' Goal Virgil van Dijk league goal #6 assist Dominik Szoboszlai

Category leaders

  • Key passesDominik Szoboszlai6
  • Duels wonCurtis Jones7/9
  • DribblesJohn McGinn2/2
  • Defensive actionsCurtis Jones5
  • ShotsOllie Watkins6 (on target 5)
  • Fouls wonEmiliano Buendía4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.