Manchester United 3-2 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 48% – 52%
- Shots 29 (8 on target) – 11 (4)
- Decisive moment: 55' Matheus Cunha, FN xPts +1.0
Luke Shaw 5'
Matheus Cunha 55'
Bryan Mbeumo 76'
Matheus Cunha 55'
Bryan Mbeumo 76'
HT 1:0
Morato 53'
Morgan Gibbs-White 78'
Morgan Gibbs-White 78'
Manchester United 3rd · 68 pts|Nottingham Forest 16th · 43 pts
Manchester United won on the scoreboard and on xG (4.57–1.88).
Player of the matchElliot AndersonDecisive moment55' Matheus Cunha+1.0
Player of the match
Elliot Anderson Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.0 (Dominant)
Game state
Manchester United ahead 83 min · level 7 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
5'
Luke Shaw
Goal
+0.7
53'
Morato
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Elliot Anderson +0.2
+0.8
55'
Matheus Cunha
Goal
+1.0
76'
Bryan Mbeumo
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Bruno Fernandes +0.1
+0.4
78'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · assist Elliot Anderson
+0.2
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +2.1Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.9→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Manchester UnitedNottingham Forest
48%Possession52%
4.57Expected goals (xG)1.88
0.16xG per shot0.17
29Shots11
8Shots on target4
28%Shots on target %36%
21Shots in box11
438Passes472
87%Pass accuracy84%
7Corners6
2Saves5
11Fouls5
2Yellow cards1
0Offsides1
Compared with usual
Manchester United
38 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 4.57 | 1.6 | high |
| xG against | 1.88 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 29 | 15.9 | |
| On target | 8 | 5.7 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 11.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.16 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 48% | 52.7% | |
| Passes | 438 | 469.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 82.4% | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.8 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 9.8 |
Nottingham Forest
54 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.88 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 4.57 | 1.3 | high |
| Shots | 11 | 13.9 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 29 | 11.8 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.17 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 52% | 48.9% | |
| Passes | 472 | 436.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 82.3% | |
| Corners | 6 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 5 | 11.6 |
Timeline
- 5' Goal Luke Shaw league goal #1
- 53' Goal Morato league goal #1 assist Elliot Anderson
- 55' Goal Matheus Cunha league goal #10
- 57' VAR Matheus Cunha
- 70' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 70' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ibrahim Sangaré
- 70' Sub Omari Hutchinson → Dilane Bakwa
- 76' Goal Bryan Mbeumo league goal #10 assist Bruno Fernandes
- 78' Yellow Casemiro
- 78' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #14 assist Elliot Anderson
- 80' Sub Bryan Mbeumo → Joshua Zirkzee
- 80' Sub Matheus Cunha → Patrick Dorgu
- 81' Sub Casemiro → Mason Mount
- 84' Sub Igor Jesus → James McAtee
- 84' Sub Luca Netz → Jair
- 90+3' Yellow Luke Shaw
- 90+4' Yellow Elliot Anderson
Category leaders
- Key passesBruno Fernandes8
- Duels wonElliot Anderson9/15
- DribblesMatheus Cunha3/3
- Defensive actionsElliot Anderson9
- ShotsBryan Mbeumo4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonElliot Anderson3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.