Real Sociedad 3-4 Valencia
Key numbers
- Possession 55% – 45%
- Shots 8 (3 on target) – 13 (6)
- Decisive moment: 90' Javier Guerra, FN xPts +1.7
Player of the match
Javier Guerra 8.7Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)
Game state
1-01-11-22-23-23-33-4
Real Sociedad ahead 31 min · level 21 min · Valencia ahead 38 min
- Valencia: Red card 70' → ~20 min a player down
- Mikel Oyarzabal — off the bench 33 min · 0G 1A
- Thierry Correia — off the bench 17 min · 0G 1A
- André Almeida — off the bench 17 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
3'
Aihen Muñoz
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Aritz Elustondo +0.2
+0.7
8'
Javier Guerra
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Diego López +0.2
+0.6
22'
Hugo Duro
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Eray Cömert +0.2
+0.8
60'
César Tárrega
Own goal
−1.1
63'
Orri Óskarsson
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Mikel Oyarzabal +0.3
+1.1
70'
Eray Cömert
Red card
−0.1
89'
Guido Rodríguez
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist André Almeida +0.3
+0.9
90'
Javier Guerra
Goal · scorer +1.2 · assist Thierry Correia +0.5
+1.7
Real Sociedad
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.8Opponent moments −3.1Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Valencia
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +2.8Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Real SociedadValencia
1.15Expected goals (xG)1.67
Compared with usual
Real Sociedad
last 28 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.15 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.67 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 8 | 12.5 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.8 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 14.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 55% | 51.6% | |
| Passes | 487 | 468.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 82.3% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 14 | |
Valencia
last 30 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1.2 | high |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.67 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.15 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 13 | 12.4 | |
| On target | 6 | 3.4 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 11.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 45% | 49.8% | |
| Passes | 408 | 432.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 81.9% | |
| Corners | 2 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 12 | |
Timeline
- 3'
Goal
Aihen Muñoz league goal #1 assist Aritz Elustondo
- 8'
Goal
Javier Guerra league goal #2 assist Diego López
- 22'
Goal
Hugo Duro league goal #10 assist Eray Cömert
- 25'
Yellow
Arsen Zakharyan
- 57'
Sub
Brais Méndez → Luka Sučić
- 57'
Sub
Arsen Zakharyan → Mikel Oyarzabal
- 57'
Sub
Aihen Muñoz → Sergio Gómez
- 60'
Goal
César Tárrega (OG)
- 63'
Goal
Orri Óskarsson league goal #8 assist Mikel Oyarzabal
- 70'
Red
Eray Cömert
- 73'
Sub
Hugo Duro → Umar Sadiq
- 73'
Sub
Filip Ugrinić → Thierry Correia
- 74'
Sub
Diego López → Pepelu
- 74'
Sub
Luis Rioja → Largie Ramazani
- 79'
Sub
Orri Óskarsson → Gonçalo Guedes
- 83'
Sub
Unai Núñez → André Almeida
- 84'
Sub
Aritz Elustondo → Jon Aramburu
- 86'
Yellow
Beñat Turrientes
- 88'
Yellow
Jon Martin
- 88'
Yellow
Igor Zubeldia
- 89'
Goal
Guido Rodríguez league goal #3 assist André Almeida
- 90'
Goal
Javier Guerra league goal #3 assist Thierry Correia
Category leaders
- Key passesJesús Vázquez3
- Duels wonBrais Méndez9/12
- DribblesJesús Vázquez4/5
- Defensive actionsGuido Rodríguez5
- ShotsJavier Guerra4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonBrais Méndez3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.