AC Milan 1-2 Cagliari
Key numbers
- Possession 48% – 52%
- Shots 16 (3 on target) – 25 (10)
- Decisive moment: 57' Juan Rodríguez, FN xPts +1.2
Alexis Saelemaekers 2'
HT 1:1
Gennaro Borrelli 20'
Juan Rodríguez 57'
Juan Rodríguez 57'
AC Milan 4th · 70 pts|Cagliari 16th → 14th · 43 pts
Cagliari won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.74–2.78).
Player of the matchAlexis SaelemaekersDecisive moment57' Juan Rodríguez+1.2
Player of the match
Alexis Saelemaekers Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)
Game state
AC Milan ahead 18 min · level 39 min · Cagliari ahead 33 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
2'
Alexis Saelemaekers
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Santiago Giménez +0.2
+0.6
20'
Gennaro Borrelli
Goal
+0.5
57'
Juan Rodríguez
Goal
+1.2
AC Milan
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.9→ League points won 0
Cagliari
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −0.5Time effect +1.0→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
AC MilanCagliari
48%Possession52%
1.74Expected goals (xG)2.78
0.11xG per shot0.11
16Shots25
3Shots on target10
19%Shots on target %40%
13Shots in box16
455Passes487
87%Pass accuracy88%
5Corners5
9Saves2
8Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
3Offsides0
Compared with usual
AC Milan
40 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.85 | |
| xG | 1.74 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 2.78 | 1 | |
| Shots | 16 | 13.6 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 25 | 10.8 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 48% | 53.1% | |
| Passes | 455 | 499 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87.1% | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 10.4 |
Cagliari
40 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 2.78 | 0.89 | high |
| xG against | 1.74 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 25 | 10.6 | high |
| On target | 10 | 3.4 | high |
| Shots faced | 16 | 12.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 52% | 45.6% | |
| Passes | 487 | 394.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 80% | |
| Corners | 5 | 3.8 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 13.9 |
Timeline
- 2' Yellow Zé Pedro
- 2' Goal Alexis Saelemaekers league goal #3 assist Santiago Giménez
- 20' Goal Gennaro Borrelli league goal #5
- 46' Sub Santiago Giménez → Christian Pulisic
- 56' Yellow Strahinja Pavlović
- 57' Goal Juan Rodríguez league goal #1
- 58' Yellow Mike Maignan
- 61' Sub Fikayo Tomori → Zachary Athekame
- 61' Sub Christopher Nkunku → Niclas Füllkrug
- 62' Sub Ardon Jashari → Luka Modrić
- 62' Sub Juan Rodríguez → Alberto Dossena
- 63' Sub Zé Pedro → Marco Palestra
- 68' Sub Youssouf Fofana → Rafael Leão
- 74' Sub Alessandro Deiola → Sulemana
- 74' Sub Gennaro Borrelli → Paul Mendy
- 90+5' Sub Sebastiano Esposito → Mattia Felici
- 90+6' Yellow Sulemana
Category leaders
- Key passesAdrien Rabiot4
- Duels wonSebastiano Esposito8/14
- DribblesChristian Pulisic3/5
- Defensive actionsSebastiano Esposito8
- ShotsAdrien Rabiot4 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonSebastiano Esposito4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.