Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa
Key numbers
- Possession 53% – 47%
- Shots 16 (3 on target) – 12 (5)
- Decisive moment: 61' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +1.0
Antoine Semenyo 23'
HT 1:0
Ollie Watkins 47'
Ollie Watkins 61'
Ollie Watkins 61'
Manchester City 2nd · 78 pts|Aston Villa 4th · 65 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.34–1.77).
Player of the matchOllie WatkinsDecisive moment61' Ollie Watkins+1.0
Player of the match
Ollie Watkins Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)
Game state
Manchester City ahead 24 min · level 37 min · Aston Villa ahead 29 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
23'
Antoine Semenyo
Goal
+0.5
47'
Ollie Watkins
Goal
+0.5
61'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Ross Barkley +0.3
+1.0
Manchester City
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +0.5Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −1.0→ League points won 0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −0.4Time effect +1.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Manchester CityAston Villa
53%Possession47%
1.34Expected goals (xG)1.77
0.08xG per shot0.15
16Shots12
3Shots on target5
19%Shots on target %42%
10Shots in box9
481Passes440
89%Pass accuracy90%
9Corners4
3Saves2
8Fouls4
1Yellow cards0
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
Manchester City
59 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.88 | |
| xG | 1.34 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 1.77 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 16 | 15.9 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.8 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 9.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 53% | 61.3% | |
| Passes | 481 | 599.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 88.7% | |
| Corners | 9 | 6.3 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 9.9 |
Aston Villa
55 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.77 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 1.34 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 12 | 12.6 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.8 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 12.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 47% | 53.6% | |
| Passes | 440 | 451.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 84.8% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.2 | |
| Fouls | 4 | 10.4 |
Timeline
- 23' Goal Antoine Semenyo league goal #7
- 46' Sub Andrés García → Matty Cash
- 47' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #15
- 58' Sub Antoine Semenyo → Rayan Cherki
- 59' Sub Bernardo Silva → Mateo Kovačić
- 61' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #16 assist Ross Barkley
- 63' VAR Ollie Watkins
- 73' Sub Douglas Luiz → Youri Tielemans
- 73' Sub Victor Lindelöf → Pau Torres
- 73' Sub Lamare Bogarde → Amadou Onana
- 77' Sub Tijjani Reijnders → Jérémy Doku
- 77' Sub Nathan Aké → Rayan Aït-Nouri
- 78' Sub John Stones → Joško Gvardiol
- 82' Yellow Rico Lewis
- 86' Sub Ross Barkley → John McGinn
- 90+2' VAR Phil Foden
Category leaders
- Key passesPhil Foden3
- Duels wonEmiliano Buendía11/15
- DribblesOllie Watkins2/3
- Defensive actionsEmiliano Buendía11
- ShotsTijjani Reijnders4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonEmiliano Buendía3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.