Nottingham Forest 1-1 Bournemouth
Key numbers
- Possession 45% – 55%
- Shots 15 (5 on target) – 17 (4)
- Decisive moment: 34' Morgan Gibbs-White, FN xPts +0.8
Morgan Gibbs-White 34'
HT 1:0
Marcus Tavernier 54'
Nottingham Forest 16th · 44 pts|Bournemouth 6th · 57 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 1.73–0.95.
Player of the matchAdrien TruffertDecisive moment34' Morgan Gibbs-White+0.8
Player of the match
Adrien Truffert Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.9 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 20 min · level 70 min · Bournemouth ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
34'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Omari Hutchinson +0.2
+0.8
54'
Marcus Tavernier
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Adrien Truffert +0.2
+0.8
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.2→ League points won 1
Bournemouth
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.4→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestBournemouth
45%Possession55%
1.73Expected goals (xG)0.95
0.12xG per shot0.06
15Shots17
5Shots on target4
33%Shots on target %24%
10Shots in box6
396Passes485
78%Pass accuracy84%
6Corners3
3Saves3
11Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
3Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
55 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.73 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.95 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 15 | 13.8 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 12.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 45% | 49% | |
| Passes | 396 | 437.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 82.3% | |
| Corners | 6 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.5 |
Bournemouth
39 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 0.95 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 1.73 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 17 | 14 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.9 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 12.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 55% | 50.1% | |
| Passes | 485 | 414.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 79.1% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.6 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 12.4 |
Timeline
- 33' Yellow James Hill
- 34' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #15 assist Omari Hutchinson
- 54' Goal Marcus Tavernier league goal #7 assist Adrien Truffert
- 57' Sub Alex Tóth → Ben Gannon-Doak
- 62' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 63' Sub Jair → Luca Netz
- 65' Sub Elliot Anderson → Ryan Yates
- 65' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Nicolás Domínguez
- 66' Yellow Taiwo Awoniyi
- 73' Sub Evanilson → Enes Ünal
- 73' Sub Eli Junior Kroupi → Justin Kluivert
- 73' Sub Rayan → Amine Adli
- 78' Sub Omari Hutchinson → James McAtee
- 90' Sub Adam Smith → Lewis Cook
Category leaders
- Key passesMarcus Tavernier6
- Duels wonAdrien Truffert10/11
- DribblesMorgan Gibbs-White2/4
- Defensive actionsAdrien Truffert8
- Fouls wonIgor Jesus3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.