Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano: late penalty completes the turnaround
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG per shot: Rayo 0.32, Sevilla 0.17
- Sevilla trailed for 48 minutes before winning
- 90' penalty worth +1.7 FN xPts
Sevilla come back from an early goal
Sevilla trailed after Álvaro García's early goal and recovered through two penalties. Rayo Vallecano created the better chances shot for shot, with 0.32 xG per effort to Sevilla's 0.17, yet they were beaten.
Late penalty turns level into lead
Peque Fernández's penalty, scored shortly after Kike Salas was sent off, turned a level match into a lead and was worth +1.7 FN xPts. Jon Guridi's earlier equaliser from the spot was worth +0.9.
Player of the match
Miguel Sierra 7.0Strong
He had the highest FN Score in the match, built mainly on attacking output.
Sierra made two key passes, won both of his dribbles and won a penalty in 70 minutes. He was on the pitch as Sevilla moved from 0-1 to the 52nd-minute equaliser, though the winner came after he was replaced in the 70th minute.
Game state
0-11-12-1
Sevilla ahead 0 min · level 42 min · Rayo Vallecano ahead 48 min
- Peque Fernández — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
4'
Álvaro García
Goal
+0.8
52'
Jon Guridi
Pen goal
+0.9
88'
Kike Salas
Red card
−0.1
90'
Peque Fernández
Pen goal
+1.7
Sevilla
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +2.5Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Rayo Vallecano
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −2.0Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
SevillaRayo Vallecano
2.19Expected goals (xG)1.89
Timeline
- 4'
Goal
Álvaro García league goal #1
- 38'
VAR
Isaac Romero
- 45+3'
Yellow
Isaac Romero
- 46'
Sub
N. Guilen → Peque Fernández
- 46'
Sub
Isaac Romero → Robbie Ure
- 52'
Goal
Jon Guridi (pen) league goal #1
- 60'
Yellow
Jon Guridi
- 64'
Sub
Isi Palazón → Sergio Camello
- 65'
Sub
Randy Nteka → Alemão
- 67'
Yellow
Álvaro García
- 70'
Sub
Miguel Sierra → Rubén Vargas
- 70'
Sub
Álvaro García → Fran Pérez
- 75'
Yellow
Unai López
- 76'
Yellow
Fran Pérez
- 78'
Sub
Oso → Chidera Ejuke
- 78'
Sub
Óscar Valentín → Pelayo Fernández
- 78'
Sub
Unai López → Pedro Díaz
- 81'
Yellow
Gabriel Suazo
- 82'
Sub
Jon Guridi → Manu Bueno
- 88'
Red
Kike Salas
- 90'
Goal
Peque Fernández (pen) league goal #1
- 90+12'
Yellow
Lucien Agoumé
- 90+12'
Yellow
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Category leaders
- Key passesJuan Iglesias2
- Duels wonFlorian Lejeune11/14
- DribblesAndrei Rațiu3/4
- Defensive actionsFlorian Lejeune6
- Fouls wonJuan Iglesias3
#Sevilla#Rayo Vallecano#La Liga#Peque Fernández#Miguel Sierra#Jon Guridi
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.