Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Alaves: Díaz's late leveller from the bench
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 2 v 0.42: Alaves had the better chances
- Alaves: 3 shots on target from 15
- Díaz scored once in 28 minutes off the bench
Alaves dominate xG but share the points
Rayo Vallecano and Alaves finished level. Alaves posted 2 xG to Rayo's 0.42, yet only three shots on target from 15 efforts meant the better chances never translated into a winning margin.
Two goals of near-equal value
Rayo went ahead through Sergio Camello, worth +1.0 FN xPts, before substitute Mariano Díaz levelled in the 84th minute for +0.9. The two goals carried almost identical weight, and the match returned to square one.
Player of the match
Unai López 7.5Strong
He had the highest FN Score in the match, with five key passes.
Unai López built up the most attacking value of anyone on the pitch, and his five key passes were the most by any player. He also won four of 12 duels and made two blocks, so his influence stretched into defence too.
Game state
1-01-1
Rayo Vallecano ahead 36 min · level 54 min · Alaves ahead 0 min
- Mariano Díaz — off the bench 28 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
48'
Sergio Camello
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Jorge de Frutos +0.3
+1.0
84'
Mariano Díaz
Goal
+0.9
Rayo Vallecano
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −1.5Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Alaves
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.3→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Rayo VallecanoAlaves
Timeline
- 17'
Sub
Isi Palazón → Randy Nteka
- 36'
VAR
Pelayo Fernández
- 45+2'
Yellow
Nahuel Tenaglia
- 48'
Goal
Sergio Camello league goal #1 assist Jorge de Frutos
- 55'
Sub
Fran Pérez → Álvaro García
- 55'
Sub
Pelayo Fernández → Óscar Valentín
- 60'
Sub
Augusto Batalla → Dani Cárdenas
- 62'
Sub
Mikel Rodriguez → Denis Suárez
- 62'
Sub
Lucas Boyé → Mariano Díaz
- 70'
Sub
Jonny Otto → Youssef Enriquez
- 73'
Yellow
Sergio Camello
- 80'
Sub
Ville Koski → Nicolás Valentini
- 80'
Sub
Ángel Pérez → Carles Aleñá
- 84'
Goal
Mariano Díaz league goal #2
- 90+2'
Yellow
Nicolás Valentini
Category leaders
- Key passesUnai López5
- Duels wonPablo Ibáñez9/11
- DribblesAbderrahman Rebbach4/6
- Defensive actionsAntonio Blanco6
- ShotsToni Martínez4 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonPablo Ibáñez4
#La Liga#Rayo Vallecano#Alaves#Unai López#Mariano Díaz#Sergio Camello
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.