Inter 4-1 Monza: clinical finishing despite a lower xG
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- Inter beat their xG (1.05) by 2.95 goals
- Shot xG 0.18 v 0.08: Monza's shots were better
- Inter led for about 65 of 90 minutes
Level at the break, clear after it
Inter went ahead in the sixth minute through Hakan Çalhanoğlu in Matchweek 1, but Gustavo Varela levelled in the 29th. After the restart the hosts pulled clear with three unanswered goals, and they were in front for about 65 minutes of the match.
Finishing outran the xG numbers
The scoreline flatters Inter's chances. Monza's xG was the higher of the two, and their shots were worth more individually, at 0.18 each against 0.08. Inter still outperformed their xG by 2.95, which suggests a side converting plenty of low-value attempts rather than creating clear ones.
Monza had the defending to do
Monza had only 30% of the ball and committed 14 fouls, while Eddy Kouadio made nine defensive actions, more than any other player on the pitch. That points to a side with a lot of defending to get through. At the other end, Andy Diouf supplied the most key passes, three, and assisted two of the goals.
Zieliński's goal broke the tie
Piotr Zieliński's goal in the 48th minute turned 1-1 into 2-1 and was worth +0.6 FN xPts, the highest figure in the match. Pio Esposito and Yann Bisseck then extended the lead. Bisseck's goal made it 4-1 with the match already well in Inter's favour, so it carried almost no FN xPts.
Player of the match
Pio Esposito 8.5Dominant
One goal, one assist and six duels won from nine.
Esposito earned his FN Score mainly in attack. He had three shots, the most of any Inter player, and two key passes, and he drew four fouls while winning six of nine duels. His goal in the 55th minute made it 3-1, and his pass for Bisseck's goal in the 63rd made it 4-1.
Game state
1-01-12-13-14-1
Inter ahead 65 min · level 25 min · Monza ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
6'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Andy Diouf +0.1
+0.3
29'
Gustavo Varela
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Mathis Mout +0.1
+0.3
48'
Piotr Zieliński
Goal
+0.6
55'
Pio Esposito
Goal · assist Andy Diouf
+0.2
63'
Yann Bisseck
Goal · assist Pio Esposito
0.0
Inter
Expected (last two seasons) 2.6Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −0.4Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
Monza
Expected (last two seasons) 0.3Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −0.7Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
InterMonza
1.05Expected goals (xG)1.23
Timeline
- 6'
Goal
Hakan Çalhanoğlu league goal #1 assist Andy Diouf
- 29'
Goal
Gustavo Varela league goal #1 assist Mathis Mout
- 34'
Yellow
Lautaro Martínez
- 45+1'
Yellow
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
- 48'
Goal
Piotr Zieliński league goal #1
- 54'
Sub
Hakan Çalhanoğlu → Petar Sučić
- 54'
Sub
Lautaro Martínez → Ange-Yoan Bonny
- 55'
Goal
Pio Esposito league goal #1 assist Andy Diouf
- 63'
Goal
Yann Bisseck league goal #1 assist Pio Esposito
- 69'
Yellow
Eddy Kouadio
- 70'
Sub
Mathis Mout → Nicolas Galazzi
- 70'
Sub
Andrea Colpani → Omari Forson
- 70'
Sub
Adam Bakoune → Patrick Cutrone
- 75'
Sub
Manuel Akanji → John Stones
- 75'
Sub
Andy Diouf → Luís Henrique
- 83'
Sub
Piotr Zieliński → Aleksandar Stanković
- 83'
Sub
Gustavo Varela → Jay Robinson
- 84'
Yellow
Lorenzo Lucchesi
- 88'
Sub
Lorenzo Lucchesi → Filippo Delli Carri
Category leaders
- Key passesAndy Diouf3
- Duels wonPio Esposito6/9
- Defensive actionsEddy Kouadio9
- ShotsPio Esposito3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonPio Esposito4
#Serie A#Inter#Monza#Pio Esposito#Piotr Zieliński
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.