Le Mans 2-2 Brest: a point earned from few chances
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 0.67 v 2.72: Brest had the better chances
- 26 shots, yet Brest scored only twice
- Mafouta's 55' goal: +1.0 FN xPts
A lively opener ends level
Brest struck first, Le Mans levelled just before the break, and the hosts went in front again early in the second half. Brest had an answer ready in the 62nd minute, and the match finished 2-2.
Brest made the chances, Le Mans took theirs
Brest's xG was 2.72 to Le Mans' 0.67, yet Le Mans outperformed theirs by 1.33 goals. Louis Mafouta's 55th-minute goal was worth +1.0 FN xPts, and Kamory Doumbia's equaliser in the 62nd minute won back +0.8 for Brest.
Player of the match
Kamory Doumbia 8.8Dominant
He scored once, assisted once and won all three of his dribbles to lead the FN Score.
Doumbia earned most of his FN Score going forward. He set up Romain Del Castillo's opener in the 31st minute and scored the equaliser himself in the 62nd, so Brest were never left behind for long.
Game state
0-11-12-12-2
Le Mans ahead 7 min · level 69 min · Stade Brestois 29 ahead 14 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
31'
Romain Del Castillo
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Kamory Doumbia +0.2
+0.8
45'
Dame Gueye
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Louis Mafouta +0.2
+0.8
55'
Louis Mafouta
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Adil Bourabaa +0.3
+1.0
62'
Kamory Doumbia
Goal
+0.8
Le Mans
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.5Own moments +1.8Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.4→ League points won 1
Stade Brestois 29
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Le MansStade Brestois 29
0.67Expected goals (xG)2.72
Timeline
- 31'
Goal
Romain Del Castillo league goal #1 assist Kamory Doumbia
- 43'
Yellow
Ludovic Ajorque
- 45'
Goal
Dame Gueye league goal #1 assist Louis Mafouta
- 51'
Yellow
Alexandre Lauray
- 55'
Goal
Louis Mafouta league goal #1 assist Adil Bourabaa
- 62'
Goal
Kamory Doumbia league goal #1
- 63'
Sub
Alexandre Lauray → Lucas Bretelle
- 63'
Sub
Louis Mafouta → Erwan Colas
- 63'
Sub
Joseph Nonge Boende → Mamady Diambou
- 71'
Sub
Pathé Mboup → Axel Camblan
- 71'
Sub
Romain Del Castillo → Mama Baldé
- 72'
Sub
Dame Gueye → William Harhouz
- 72'
Sub
Adil Bourabaa → Billal Brahimi
- 81'
Sub
Yasser Larouci → Lucas Calodat
- 89'
Sub
Kamory Doumbia → L. C. Laine M.
Category leaders
- Key passesKenny Lala4
- Duels wonLudovic Ajorque14/23
- DribblesRomain Del Castillo3/4
- Defensive actionsNoa Boissé6
- ShotsLudovic Ajorque7 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonLucas Buades5
#Ligue 1#Le Mans#Brest#Kamory Doumbia#Louis Mafouta
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.