Atletico Madrid 2-2 Villarreal: a red card, then a late leveller
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 19 shots, but only 0.04 xG per shot
- xG 0.78 v 3.6: Villarreal had the better chances
- Red card 76', equaliser 85'
A point rescued after the red card
The match stayed goalless until Marc Pubill scored in the 59th minute, but Villarreal turned it round with two penalties. Atletico were reduced to ten men in the 76th minute, yet Giuliano Simeone's goal in the 85th minute rescued a draw. Each side led for only about seven minutes.
Atletico shot more, Villarreal shot better
Atletico had plenty of shots, but the average was worth only 0.04 xG. Villarreal's averaged 0.28, and 77% of their attempts came inside the box. That suggests Atletico were firing from distance while Villarreal reached the more dangerous positions.
Villarreal's xG outran their goals
Villarreal's 3.6 xG was well above their return of two goals, both from the spot. Atletico scored twice from 0.78 xG, so the scoreline flattered them, and Jan Oblak's four saves helped to keep that gap in check.
Simeone's hand in both Atletico goals
Simeone set up Pubill's opener and then scored the equaliser himself, with Alex Baena, introduced at the break, providing the pass. That goal was worth +1.0 FN xPts. Georges Mikautadze's penalty, which put Villarreal back in front, was larger at +1.3, and the two sides shared the points.
Player of the match
Giuliano Simeone 8.6Dominant
A goal, an assist, two key passes and five tackles across 90 minutes.
Most of his points came from attack: he created Pubill's opener and scored the equaliser himself, so he was involved both when Atletico went ahead and when they restored parity. Six duels won from ten showed he also did his share without the ball, which mattered once the side were reduced in numbers.
Game state
1-01-11-22-2
Atletico Madrid ahead 7 min · level 76 min · Villarreal ahead 7 min
- Atletico Madrid: Red card 76' → ~14 min a player down
- Alex Baena — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A
- Gerard Moreno — off the bench 30 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
59'
Marc Pubill
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Giuliano Simeone +0.3
+0.9
66'
Gerard Moreno
Pen goal
+0.7
76'
Robin Le Normand
Red card
−0.3
78'
Georges Mikautadze
Pen goal
+1.3
85'
Giuliano Simeone
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Alex Baena +0.3
+1.0
Atletico Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.6→ League points won 1
Villarreal
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −2.0Time effect +0.1→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Atletico MadridVillarreal
0.78Expected goals (xG)3.6
Timeline
- 46'
Sub
Rodrigo Mendoza → Alex Baena
- 50'
Yellow
Santiago Mouriño
- 54'
Yellow
Alex Baena
- 59'
Goal
Marc Pubill league goal #1 assist Giuliano Simeone
- 60'
Sub
Alberto Moleiro → Gerard Moreno
- 61'
Sub
Ayoze Pérez → Tajon Buchanan
- 66'
Sub
Koke → Marcos Llorente
- 66'
Sub
Kang-in Lee → Pablo Barrios
- 66'
Sub
Marc Pubill → Julián Alvarez
- 66'
Goal
Gerard Moreno (pen) league goal #1
- 75'
VAR
Georges Mikautadze
- 76'
Yellow
Morten Hjulmand
- 76'
Red
Robin Le Normand
- 78'
Goal
Georges Mikautadze (pen) league goal #1
- 79'
Sub
Ademola Lookman → José María Giménez
- 79'
Sub
Nicolas Pépé → Carlos Maciá
- 79'
Sub
Georges Mikautadze → Ilias Akhomach
- 85'
Sub
Santi Comesaña → Tani Oluwaseyi
- 85'
Goal
Giuliano Simeone league goal #1 assist Alex Baena
- 90+1'
Yellow
José María Giménez
- 90+10'
Yellow
Juan Foyth
Category leaders
- Key passesMorten Hjulmand5
- Duels wonAlejandro Grimaldo8/12
- DribblesNicolas Pépé3/5
- Defensive actionsAlejandro Grimaldo8
- ShotsGeorges Mikautadze4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonKoke3
#Atletico Madrid#Villarreal#La Liga#Giuliano Simeone#Georges Mikautadze#Matchweek 2
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.