Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool: late penalty ends a long lead
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 2.98 v 1.58: Liverpool had the better chances
- Newcastle led for about 83 minutes
- 16 of Liverpool's 27 shots were blocked
A lead held until the 90th minute
Anthony Elanga's opener put Newcastle in front, and the hosts stayed there for about 83 minutes. It took Dominik Szoboszlai's penalty in the 90th minute to level the match at 2-2. Both sides finished the opening matchweek with one point, and neither could claim to have been done an injustice by the scoreline.
Liverpool's volume outweighed their quality
Liverpool's xG of 2.98 was well above Newcastle's, yet it looks a product of volume rather than quality: their xG per shot of 0.11 was no better than the hosts'. Sixteen shots were blocked, which suggests Newcastle's defenders repeatedly got bodies in the way.
Horníček kept Newcastle in it
Newcastle ceded the ball, yet Lukáš Horníček made five saves to hold the line. The second half then moved quickly. Cody Gakpo equalised in the 55th minute, and two minutes later the substitute Joe Willock restored the lead from Yoane Wissa's assist.
Szoboszlai's penalty reset the match
Szoboszlai's 90th-minute penalty was worth +1.0 FN xPts because it turned a long Newcastle lead into a level score. Víctor Muñoz won the spot-kick and Lewis Hall was recorded as conceding it. Willock's goal in the 57th minute had been worth +0.9 FN xPts to Newcastle.
Player of the match
Cody Gakpo 8.0Dominant
Ranked first by FN Score, with a goal, three shots and three key passes.
Gakpo earned his points through attacking output first, then added defensive work: three tackles, three interceptions and seven of 15 duels won. His 55th-minute goal, set up by Ryan Gravenberch, was Liverpool's first leveller, but Newcastle went back in front two minutes later, so it did not earn a point on its own.
Game state
1-01-12-12-2
Newcastle ahead 83 min · level 7 min · Liverpool ahead 0 min
- Joe Willock — off the bench 34 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
5'
Anthony Elanga
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist William Osula +0.2
+0.6
55'
Cody Gakpo
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Ryan Gravenberch +0.2
+0.7
57'
Joe Willock
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Yoane Wissa +0.3
+0.9
90'
Dominik Szoboszlai
Pen goal
+1.0
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −2.4Time effect +0.4→ League points won 1
Liverpool
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −1.4Time effect −0.6→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
NewcastleLiverpool
1.58Expected goals (xG)2.98
Timeline
- 5'
Goal
Anthony Elanga league goal #1 assist William Osula
- 25'
Yellow
Yoane Wissa
- 30'
Yellow
Jeremie Frimpong
- 30'
Yellow
Miloš Kerkez
- 34'
Yellow
Lewis Miley
- 55'
Goal
Cody Gakpo league goal #1 assist Ryan Gravenberch
- 56'
Sub
William Osula → Joe Willock
- 56'
Sub
Sean Steur → Jacob Ramsey
- 57'
Goal
Joe Willock league goal #1 assist Yoane Wissa
- 63'
Sub
Florian Wirtz → Alexis Mac Allister
- 63'
Sub
Rio Ngumoha → Víctor Muñoz
- 64'
Yellow
Jacob Ramsey
- 70'
Sub
Jérémy Jacquet → Ronald Araújo
- 76'
Sub
Lewis Miley → Aladji Bamba
- 76'
Sub
Anthony Elanga → Jacob Murphy
- 78'
Sub
Ryan Gravenberch → Lewis Koumas
- 79'
Yellow
Jacob Murphy
- 90'
Yellow
Virgil van Dijk
- 90'
Goal
Dominik Szoboszlai (pen) league goal #1
- 90+3'
Yellow
Lukáš Horníček
- 90+5'
Sub
Yoane Wissa → Fabian Schär
Category leaders
- Key passesJeremie Frimpong3
- Duels wonYoane Wissa11/19
- Defensive actionsLewis Hall8
- ShotsYoane Wissa4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonYoane Wissa4
#Newcastle#Liverpool#Premier League#Cody Gakpo#Dominik Szoboszlai#Lukáš Horníček
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.