Birmingham 1-6 Brentford: Anthony's assists, Collins' brace
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 0.63 v 2.08, yet the scoreline was 1-6
- 13 v 2 shots from inside the box
- Anthony: 3 assists, 4 key passes (most in the match)
Birmingham levelled; Brentford pulled clear
Birmingham fell behind early but equalised through Demarai Gray in the 28th minute. Brentford responded with goals in the 35th and 40th minutes to lead 3-1 at the break, then added three more after it. It finished 1-6 at St. Andrew's in the EFL Cup Round of 64, a 6-1 away win for the visitors.
Hickey's goal answered the equaliser at once
Aaron Hickey's strike in the 35th minute was worth +0.6 FN xPts, more than any other goal on the night, and it cancelled out the lift Birmingham had taken from Gray's equaliser. Collins added a third in the 40th minute before half-time. Brentford spent about 77 minutes in front, while Birmingham were level for about 13.
Six goals from a modest chance count
Brentford had far more shots from inside the box than Birmingham, yet their six goals beat their xG by 3.92. Finishing, more than the quality of each chance, appears to have stretched the scoreline. Most of Birmingham's eight shots came from outside the box.
Anthony supplied three of the goals
Jaidon Anthony registered three assists, setting up the goals in the 40th, 70th and 73rd minutes, and led all players with four key passes. Substitute Igor Thiago scored in the 73rd minute, while Mamadou Sangare, also off the bench, created Collins' second in the 77th. For Birmingham, Seung Ho Paik laid on Gray's goal.
Player of the match
Nathan Collins 9.2Dominant
Two goals, three shots on target and 12 of 18 duels won earned him the highest FN Score.
Collins' FN Score was built mainly on attack: two goals from four shots, three of them on target. The 40th-minute goal made it 1-3 before the break and the 77th-minute one made it 1-6. He also won 12 of 18 duels and completed 69 of 85 passes, so defending and build-up added points too.
Game state
0-11-11-21-31-41-51-6
Birmingham ahead 0 min · level 13 min · Brentford ahead 77 min
- Mamadou Sangare — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A
- Igor Thiago — off the bench 28 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
6'
Callum Wilson
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Yehor Yarmoliuk +0.1
+0.4
28'
Demarai Gray
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Seung Ho Paik +0.1
+0.4
35'
Aaron Hickey
Goal
+0.6
40'
Nathan Collins
Goal · assist Jaidon Anthony
+0.2
70'
Mikkel Damsgaard
Goal · assist Jaidon Anthony
0.0
73'
Igor Thiago
Goal · assist Jaidon Anthony
0.0
77'
Nathan Collins
Goal · assist Mamadou Sangare
0.0
Knockout ties have no league points, so moments are weighed on a win-3/draw-1 scale only.
Pre-match expectation for Birmingham is an estimate: no top-five-league record, so it uses the published starting values.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
BirminghamBrentford
0.63Expected goals (xG)2.08
Timeline
- 6'
Goal
Callum Wilson competition goal #1 assist Yehor Yarmoliuk
- 26'
Yellow
Jannik Schuster
- 28'
Goal
Demarai Gray assist Seung Ho Paik
- 35'
Goal
Aaron Hickey competition goal #1
- 37'
Yellow
Jhon Solís
- 40'
Goal
Nathan Collins competition goal #1 assist Jaidon Anthony
- 46'
Sub
Dango Ouattara → Kevin Schade
- 48'
Sub
Yehor Yarmoliuk → Mamadou Sangare
- 55'
Yellow
Bright Osayi-Samuel
- 61'
Sub
Kristoffer Lund → Alex Cochrane
- 61'
Sub
Luis Vázquez → August Priske
- 61'
Sub
Kanya Fujimoto → Jay Stansfield
- 62'
Sub
Callum Wilson → Igor Thiago
- 70'
Goal
Mikkel Damsgaard competition goal #1 assist Jaidon Anthony
- 71'
Sub
Vitaly Janelt → Michael Kayode
- 71'
Sub
Rico Henry → Keane Lewis-Potter
- 73'
Goal
Igor Thiago competition goal #1 assist Jaidon Anthony
- 75'
Sub
Demarai Gray → Phil Neumann
- 77'
Goal
Nathan Collins competition goal #2 assist Mamadou Sangare
- 83'
Sub
Seung Ho Paik → Tomoki Iwata
Category leaders
- Key passesJaidon Anthony4
- Duels wonNathan Collins12/18
- DribblesJaidon Anthony3/5
- Defensive actionsChristoph Klarer8
- ShotsDemarai Gray4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonCarlos Vicente4
#Brentford#Birmingham#EFL Cup#Nathan Collins#Jaidon Anthony#FN Score
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.