Stoke City 1-1 Hull City: Dowell levels, Hull win shootout 5-4
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 0.87 v 1.91: Hull created the better chances
- Griffiths made five saves to keep Stoke level
- 39' and 45' goals each worth +0.9 FN xPts
Hull edge it from the spot after 1-1
Stoke City and Hull City could not be separated in 90 minutes, and Hull won the shootout 5-4. Both goals came before the break: Róbert Boženík put Stoke ahead in the 39th minute, and Kieran Dowell equalised in the 45th. Stoke led for only about six minutes, and the second half passed without a goal.
Hull's finishing lagged behind their chances
Hull built an xG of 1.91 but scored only once. Six of their shots were on target, and Joshua Griffiths saved five of them; the other was Dowell's equaliser. Griffiths's saves kept Stoke level in a match where Hull's shot count was well ahead.
Stoke shot close in but rarely hurt Hull
Nine in ten of Stoke's shots came inside the box, yet they added up to an xG of only 0.87. That suggests plenty of close-range efforts without many clear chances. Sorba Thomas supplied four key passes, level with Hull's Liam Millar, including the assist for Boženík's goal.
Dowell erased Stoke's lead before the break
Boženík's opener, set up by Thomas, was worth +0.9 FN xPts to Stoke. Dowell's equaliser, created by Millar six minutes later, was worth exactly the same to Hull. With nothing added after the interval, the match went to penalties, where Hull prevailed 5-4.
Player of the match
Kieran Dowell 8.2Dominant
Dowell led the FN Score with a goal, two shots on target and seven of eight duels won.
Dowell earned most of his FN Score through attacking work, with two shots on target and two key passes, but his defensive numbers added to it: three tackles and seven of eight duels won. His equaliser in the 45th minute wiped out Stoke's lead after about six minutes, and he drew four fouls, more than any other player in the match.
Game state
1-01-1
Stoke City ahead 6 min · level 84 min · Hull City ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
39'
Róbert Boženík
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Sorba Thomas +0.3
+0.9
45'
Kieran Dowell
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Liam Millar +0.3
+0.9
Knockout ties have no league points, so moments are weighed on a win-3/draw-1 scale only.
Pre-match expectation for Stoke City is an estimate: no top-five-league record, so it uses the published starting values.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Stoke CityHull City
0.87Expected goals (xG)1.91
Timeline
- 39'
Goal
Róbert Boženík assist Sorba Thomas
- 45'
Goal
Kieran Dowell competition goal #1 assist Liam Millar
- 46'
Sub
Ethan Galbraith → Djibril Soumaré
- 59'
Sub
Jens Hjertø-Dahl → Hidemasa Morita
- 63'
Sub
Róbert Boženík → George Hirst
- 64'
Sub
Ben Johnson → B. Lawal
- 64'
Sub
Million Manhoef → Sam Gallagher
- 77'
Sub
Matt Targett → Elliot Stroud
- 77'
Sub
Abdülkadir Ömür → Mohamed Belloumi
- 81'
Sub
Laurence Giani → Freddie Anderson
- 81'
Sub
David Akintola → Regan Slater
- 81'
Sub
Kieran Dowell → Tyrell Sellars-Fleming
- 82'
Yellow
Lucas Herrington
- 90+5'
Yellow
George Hirst
Category leaders
- Key passesSorba Thomas4
- Duels wonCody Drameh7/9
- DribblesMillion Manhoef4/5
- Defensive actionsBen Pearson6
- ShotsDavid Akintola5 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonKieran Dowell4
#Stoke City#Hull City#EFL Cup#Kieran Dowell#penalty shootout
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.