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La Liga · Matchweek 1
VALValencia
0:1
BETReal Betis
HT 0:0
Pablo García 83'
Tue, 25 Aug 2026, 20:00 (UK) · Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia 11th → 15th · 1 pt|Real Betis 7th → 2nd · 6 pts

Real Betis won at Mestalla through a late goal from a substitute, created by another, after Valencia's higher xG brought no reward.

Player of the matchAngel Ortiz7.9Decisive moment83' Pablo García+1.5

Valencia 0-1 Real Betis: two substitutes settle a tight match

Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it

Key numbers

  • 83': goal and assist both from subs
  • xG 1.12 vs 0.71, yet Valencia failed to score
  • The 83' goal was worth +1.5 FN xPts

Valencia's xG brought no goal

Real Betis won 1-0 away from home, and the match stayed level for 83 minutes before it was settled. Valencia had the higher xG, 1.12 to 0.71, but never turned that edge into a goal.

The bench provided the breakthrough

In the 83rd minute Pablo García scored from Fran García's assist, and both had come on as substitutes. The goal was worth +1.5 FN xPts, as it turned a level match into a lead. Álvaro Valles then made three saves to protect the clean sheet.

Player of the match
Angel Ortiz 7.9Strong

In 71 minutes he made five tackles, three blocks and won five of his eight duels.

Angel Ortiz did his work at the back, and Betis stayed intact after he left in the 71st minute. That kept the match level until Pablo García's winner in the 83rd minute.

Game state

0-1
Valencia ahead 0 min · level 83 min · Real Betis ahead 7 min
  • Fran García — off the bench 31 min · 0G 1A
  • Pablo García — off the bench 11 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

83' Pablo García Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Fran García +0.5 +1.5
Valencia Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Real Betis Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.5Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ValenciaReal Betis
42%Possession58%
1.12Expected goals (xG)0.71
0.07xG per shot0.05
16Shots15
3Shots on target3
19%Shots on target %20%
10Shots in box6
371Passes540
78%Pass accuracy88%
8Corners2
2Saves3
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
1Offsides1

Timeline

  • 26' Yellow Ryunosuke Sato
  • 42' Yellow Junior Firpo
  • 55' Sub Arnaut Danjuma → Filip Ugrinić
  • 55' Sub Hugo Duro → Umar Sadiq
  • 55' Sub Pablo Maffeo → Luis Rioja
  • 59' Sub Junior Firpo → Fran García
  • 59' Sub Rodrigo Riquelme → Isco
  • 71' Sub Angel Ortiz → Héctor Bellerín
  • 71' Sub Cucho Hernández → Troy Parrott
  • 79' Sub Pablo Fornals → Pablo García
  • 83' Goal Pablo García league goal #1 assist Fran García
  • 88' Sub Guido Rodríguez → Aliou Dieng
  • 88' Sub Pepelu → David Otorbi
  • 89' Yellow Mouctar Diakhaby

Category leaders

  • Key passesPablo Fornals3
  • Duels wonGuido Rodríguez7/14
  • DribblesPablo Maffeo2/3
  • Defensive actionsGuido Rodríguez8
  • ShotsNelson Deossa3 (on target 0)
#La Liga#Valencia#Real Betis#Pablo García#Fran García#Angel Ortiz

This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.