Bayern München 5-1 VfB Stuttgart: lead restored in three minutes
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 4.06 v 0.79: Bayern's chances were far better
- Bayern led for 66 of 90 minutes
- Saibari: two assists in 29 minutes off the bench
A brief equaliser, answered at once
Stuttgart made it a contest, but only briefly. Dayot Upamecano put Bayern München ahead in the 21st minute and Josha Vagnoman levelled in the 52nd. Bayern were back in front within three minutes, Michael Olise scoring before Vagnoman turned the ball into his own net to make it 3-1.
Kimmich links defence and attack
Joshua Kimmich set up Upamecano's opener and Olise's goal, and still found time for three interceptions. Olise's strike turned a level match into a lead and was worth +0.7 FN xPts, the highest figure of any moment in the match. Kimmich finished second in the FN Score, just behind Upamecano, on the back of that mix of creation and defending.
Stuttgart's shots lacked menace
Bayern's xG of 4.06 backed up the scoreline. Stuttgart's efforts were worth just 0.07 xG each, against 0.19 for the hosts, which suggests their shooting was more about volume than threat. Their only goal came in the 52nd minute, and it was cancelled out almost immediately.
Saibari makes the late goals
Ismael Saibari came on in the 61st minute and created both late goals, setting up Aleksandar Pavlović and Luis Díaz within 29 minutes of his arrival. With Bayern already well ahead, neither goal moved FN xPts much, but they stretched a comfortable lead into a heavy win.
Player of the match
Dayot Upamecano 8.8Dominant
He scored the opener, won nine of 12 duels and made a match-high seven defensive actions.
Upamecano's biggest gains came at the back: three tackles, three interceptions and a block, plus 53 completed passes from 61 to help Bayern build. His 21st-minute opener gave the hosts a lead they held for most of the match, and Stuttgart's only reply came in the 52nd minute.
Game state
1-01-12-13-14-15-1
Bayern München ahead 66 min · level 24 min · VfB Stuttgart ahead 0 min
- Ismael Saibari — off the bench 29 min · 0G 2A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
21'
Dayot Upamecano
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Joshua Kimmich +0.1
+0.4
52'
Josha Vagnoman
Goal
+0.5
55'
Michael Olise
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Joshua Kimmich +0.2
+0.7
57'
Josha Vagnoman
Own goal
−0.2
82'
Aleksandar Pavlović
Goal · assist Ismael Saibari
0.0
90'
Luis Díaz
Goal · assist Ismael Saibari
0.0
Bayern München
Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −0.3Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
VfB Stuttgart
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −0.9Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
4.06Expected goals (xG)0.79
Timeline
- 21'
Goal
Dayot Upamecano league goal #1 assist Joshua Kimmich
- 52'
Goal
Josha Vagnoman league goal #1
- 55'
Goal
Michael Olise league goal #1 assist Joshua Kimmich
- 57'
Goal
Josha Vagnoman (OG)
- 61'
Sub
Nathaniel Brown → Ismael Saibari
- 62'
Yellow
Jeff Chabot
- 62'
Sub
Tiago Tomás → Jamie Leweling
- 63'
Sub
Dženan Pejčinović → Ermedin Demirović
- 64'
VAR
Michael Olise
- 68'
Yellow
Finn Jeltsch
- 74'
Sub
Alphonso Davies → Josip Stanišić
- 74'
Sub
Deniz Undav → Leonidas Stergiou
- 74'
Sub
Jeff Chabot → Bilal El Khannouss
- 81'
Yellow
Kim Min-jae
- 82'
Goal
Aleksandar Pavlović league goal #1 assist Ismael Saibari
- 84'
Sub
Kim Min-jae → Jonathan Tah
- 84'
Sub
Aleksandar Pavlović → Tom Bischof
- 84'
Sub
Harry Kane → Lennart Karl
- 88'
Sub
Angelo Stiller → Chema Andrés
- 90'
Goal
Luis Díaz league goal #1 assist Ismael Saibari
- 90+3'
Yellow
Grischa Prömel
Category leaders
- Key passesAlphonso Davies4
- Duels wonDayot Upamecano9/12
- DribblesAleksandar Pavlović2/2
- Defensive actionsDayot Upamecano7
- ShotsMichael Olise5 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonHarry Kane5
#Bayern München#VfB Stuttgart#Bundesliga#Dayot Upamecano#Joshua Kimmich#Ismael Saibari
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.