Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest: a late reply to a penalty
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 1.75 v 2.3: Forest created the better chances
- Forest led for about 48 minutes and never trailed
- 70' penalty worth +1.3 FN xPts
Liverpool had to come from behind twice
Forest took the lead before the break, and Liverpool levelled through Alexander Isak in the 60th minute. A penalty put Forest back in front in the 70th minute, before Víctor Muñoz's goal in the 82nd minute rescued a point. Florian Wirtz also had a goal ruled out by VAR in the 32nd minute.
Liverpool had the ball, Forest the better chances
Liverpool kept 69% of the possession, yet their xG stopped at 1.75. Forest completed far fewer passes but finished with 2.3 xG. Their shots were worth 0.19 xG each against Liverpool's 0.13, which suggests they got into better positions with fewer attacks.
Neco Williams broke up play and created
Forest spent long spells without the ball, and Neco Williams led all players with nine defensive actions. Six tackles and three blocks made him the side's busiest defender, and he also set up two chances and won the penalty in the 70th minute. Liverpool had eight shots in the box, but the one that levelled it came late.
The penalty turned the match back towards Forest
Morgan Gibbs-White's penalty in the 70th minute, which restored Forest's lead from 1-1, was worth +1.3 FN xPts. Muñoz's equaliser in the 82nd minute was worth +1.0. Forest led for about 48 minutes but left with one point, while Liverpool went up to 10th on two points.
Player of the match
Jérémy Jacquet 8.1Dominant
He won 9 of 10 duels and made three interceptions and three tackles in 77 minutes.
Jérémy Jacquet's FN Score was the highest of the match, built mostly on defending, with 85 accurate passes from 94 adding to it. He was on the pitch when Liverpool equalised in the 60th minute and also when the penalty was conceded in the 70th. He was replaced in the 77th minute, five minutes before Liverpool made it 2-2.
Game state
0-11-11-22-2
Liverpool ahead 0 min · level 42 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 48 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
24'
Dan Ndoye
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.2
+0.8
60'
Alexander Isak
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Cody Gakpo +0.3
+0.9
70'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Pen goal
+1.3
82'
Víctor Muñoz
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Florian Wirtz +0.3
+1.0
Liverpool
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −1.0→ League points won 1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +2.1Opponent moments −2.7Time effect +0.7→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
LiverpoolNottingham Forest
1.75Expected goals (xG)2.3
Timeline
- 24'
Goal
Dan Ndoye league goal #1 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 32'
VAR
Florian Wirtz
- 44'
Yellow
Igor Jesus
- 50'
Yellow
Ola Aina
- 54'
Yellow
Víctor Muñoz
- 59'
Yellow
Florian Wirtz
- 60'
Goal
Alexander Isak league goal #1 assist Cody Gakpo
- 66'
Sub
Dan Ndoye → Liam Delap
- 69'
Yellow
Alisson
- 70'
Goal
Morgan Gibbs-White (pen) league goal #1
- 71'
Sub
Miloš Kerkez → Kostas Tsimikas
- 71'
Sub
Jeremie Frimpong → Ryan Gravenberch
- 71'
Sub
Cody Gakpo → Rio Ngumoha
- 77'
Sub
Jérémy Jacquet → Ronald Araújo
- 77'
Sub
Alexis Mac Allister → Trey Nyoni
- 79'
Yellow
Ronald Araújo
- 82'
Goal
Víctor Muñoz league goal #1 assist Florian Wirtz
- 86'
Sub
Ola Aina → Luca Netz
- 90+2'
Sub
James McAtee → Callum Hudson Odoi
- 90+2'
Sub
Igor Jesus → Nicolás Domínguez
Category leaders
- Key passesDominik Szoboszlai2
- Duels wonJérémy Jacquet9/10
- DribblesRio Ngumoha2/3
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams9
- ShotsVíctor Muñoz3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonVíctor Muñoz3
#Premier League#Liverpool#Nottingham Forest#Jérémy Jacquet#Neco Williams#Morgan Gibbs-White
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.