Leeds 1-1 Brentford: Nmecha's assist cancels out Schade's opener
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 1.46 v 1.67: Brentford held a slim edge
- 22 shots, 0.08 xG per shot for Brentford
- 13 fouls and four yellows for Brentford
Brentford led first, Leeds levelled later
Brentford went ahead in the 41st minute through Kevin Schade, and Leeds drew level in the 79th through Dominic Calvert-Lewin. The visitors were in front for about 38 minutes in all, with the rest of the match level. Both sides took a point from the draw, Leeds rising from tenth to sixth and Brentford from seventh to third.
Brentford's volume came with little quality
Brentford took 22 shots but averaged just 0.08 xG per attempt. Most came from inside the box, and their overall xG still edged Leeds', which suggests a side leaning on volume rather than clean sights of goal. Only one found the net, and James Trafford's four saves for Leeds helped keep it that way.
Leeds were sharper per shot
Leeds managed only two shots on target, yet their 0.12 xG per shot was higher than Brentford's. One of those two was Calvert-Lewin's equaliser, his only shot of the match and his first league goal of the season, while James Justin had the other. It points to fewer but better chances for the hosts.
A substitute's pass levelled it
Lukas Nmecha, introduced in the 69th minute, created chances for Leeds and then set up Calvert-Lewin's goal in the 79th. That equaliser was worth +1.0 FN xPts, matching the value of Schade's opener for Brentford. The bench made the difference for Leeds, as Nmecha was the only substitute on either side to be involved in a goal.
Player of the match
Tarik Muharemović 7.5Strong
He led all players with eight defensive actions and won eight of his 13 duels.
His points came mostly from defending, and the work came against a Brentford side that put 17 shots inside the box. Four blocks cut off shooting lanes, and he also completed all three of his dribbles. Leeds trailed from the 41st minute until the 79th, and his work at the back may help explain why the deficit stayed at one.
Game state
0-11-1
Leeds ahead 0 min · level 52 min · Brentford ahead 38 min
- Lukas Nmecha — off the bench 21 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
41'
Kevin Schade
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Keane Lewis-Potter +0.3
+1.0
79'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Lukas Nmecha +0.3
+1.0
Leeds
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.6→ League points won 1
Brentford
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −1.6Time effect +0.4→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
LeedsBrentford
1.46Expected goals (xG)1.67
Timeline
- 30'
Yellow
Jaidon Anthony
- 34'
Sub
Joe Rodon → Nico Elvedi
- 41'
Goal
Kevin Schade league goal #1 assist Keane Lewis-Potter
- 46'
Sub
Brenden Aaronson → Harry Wilson
- 46'
Sub
Jaka Bijol → Ao Tanaka
- 61'
Sub
Jaidon Anthony → Dango Ouattara
- 68'
Sub
Jayden Bogle → Daniel James
- 69'
Sub
Noah Okafor → Lukas Nmecha
- 69'
Sub
Mikkel Damsgaard → Yehor Yarmoliuk
- 74'
Yellow
Kristoffer Ajer
- 76'
Yellow
Vitaly Janelt
- 79'
Goal
Dominic Calvert-Lewin league goal #1 assist Lukas Nmecha
- 88'
Sub
Keane Lewis-Potter → Rico Henry
- 88'
Sub
Kevin Schade → Aaron Hickey
- 88'
Sub
Michael Kayode → Callum Wilson
- 90+3'
Yellow
Nathan Collins
Category leaders
- Key passesLukas Nmecha2
- Duels wonJayden Bogle9/12
- DribblesDango Ouattara4/4
- Defensive actionsTarik Muharemović8
- ShotsIgor Thiago5 (on target 2)
#Leeds#Brentford#Premier League#Tarik Muharemović#Kevin Schade#Dominic Calvert-Lewin
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.