Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace: Mitchell's brace, Chilwell's winner
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 3.14 v 1.97: Fulham created more but lost
- Shots on target: 50% for Palace, 24% for Fulham
- Chilwell's 77' winner: +1.5 FN xPts
Palace erase two Fulham leads
Crystal Palace twice came from behind at Craven Cottage and won through a 77th-minute winner. Fulham went ahead in the 11th minute and again just before the break, but Palace levelled each time. Daichi Kamada also had a goal ruled out by VAR in the 14th minute, yet the visitors kept coming back.
Fulham's volume brought little reward
Fulham finished with an xG of 3.14 yet scored only twice, and their xG per shot of 0.13 sat below Palace's 0.20. They had the ball for most of the match and still ended on zero points. Palace outperformed their own xG, which suggests cleaner chances from far fewer attempts.
Mitchell and Henderson at either end
Palace were efficient, with half on target across their shots. Tyrick Mitchell hit the target with both of his attempts, and Dean Henderson made five saves behind them. Axel Disasi led all players with 10 defensive actions, combining tackles, interceptions and blocks, which kept the Fulham pressure from turning into more goals.
A substitute broke the deadlock
The turning point came from the bench. Ben Chilwell, introduced as a substitute, scored in the 77th minute from Daichi Kamada's assist, and the goal was worth +1.5 FN xPts, bigger than any other moment in the match, because it turned a level score into a lead. Mitchell's two goals were worth +0.8 each.
Player of the match
Tyrick Mitchell 8.4Dominant
He had the highest FN Score, scoring twice with both of his shots on target.
Mitchell scored in the 35th minute from Eddie Nketiah's assist and again in the 54th, each time cancelling out a Fulham lead. Both of his shots were on target, and he added two tackles. His FN xPts total of +1.4 was the highest of any player, even though he completed only 10 of 20 passes.
Game state
1-01-12-12-22-3
Fulham ahead 36 min · level 41 min · Crystal Palace ahead 13 min
- Ben Chilwell — off the bench 16 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
11'
Joshua King
Goal
+0.8
35'
Tyrick Mitchell
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Eddie Nketiah +0.2
+0.8
42'
César Palacios
Goal
+0.9
54'
Tyrick Mitchell
Goal
+0.8
77'
Ben Chilwell
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Daichi Kamada +0.5
+1.5
Fulham
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −3.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Crystal Palace
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +3.1Opponent moments −1.5Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
FulhamCrystal Palace
3.14Expected goals (xG)1.97
Compared with usual
Fulham
3 matches this season, all competitions baseline
Timeline
- 11'
Goal
Joshua King league goal #2
- 14'
VAR
Daichi Kamada
- 35'
Goal
Tyrick Mitchell league goal #1 assist Eddie Nketiah
- 42'
Goal
César Palacios league goal #1
- 46'
Sub
Eddie Nketiah → Jørgen Strand Larsen
- 54'
Goal
Tyrick Mitchell league goal #2
- 61'
Sub
César Palacios → Sander Berge
- 74'
Sub
Tyrick Mitchell → Ben Chilwell
- 74'
Sub
Quinten Timber → Will Hughes
- 77'
Goal
Ben Chilwell league goal #1 assist Daichi Kamada
- 79'
Sub
Antonee Robinson → Ryan Sessegnon
- 79'
Sub
Shea Charles → Emile Smith Rowe
- 79'
Sub
Oscar Bobb → Hugo Larsson
- 83'
Sub
Alex Iwobi → Rodrigo Muniz
- 89'
Sub
Yéremy Pino → Óscar Mingueza
- 89'
Sub
Daichi Kamada → Darío Osorio
Category leaders
- Key passesOscar Bobb4
- Duels wonAxel Disasi8/13
- DribblesOscar Bobb2/5
- Defensive actionsAxel Disasi10
- ShotsCésar Palacios4 (on target 2)
#Fulham#Crystal Palace#Premier League#Tyrick Mitchell#Ben Chilwell#Comeback
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.