Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth: Jacob Ramsey rescues a point late on
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 1.37 v 0.71: the chances favoured Bournemouth
- Bournemouth led for around 79 minutes
- 88': Ramsey equalises, worth +1.0 FN xPts
Bournemouth's long lead ended late on
Bournemouth scored in the ninth minute and went two goals clear when Malick Thiaw turned the ball into his own net. Harvey Barnes pulled one back in the 37th minute, and Newcastle then waited until the 88th minute for a late equaliser from Jacob Ramsey. Bournemouth had spent around 79 minutes in front yet left St. James' Park with a single point.
xG pointed to Bournemouth, the result didn't
The numbers say Bournemouth created the better chances, with an xG of 1.37 against Newcastle's 0.71. Newcastle outperformed theirs by 1.29, converting both of their shots on target. Seven of Bournemouth's shots were blocked, which suggests their volume of shooting often met a defender rather than a clear sight of goal.
Tavernier carried the visitors' threat
Marcus Tavernier had five shots, four of them on target, and scored the opener himself. Lukáš Horníček's four saves kept Newcastle within a goal for the rest of the match, which left room for a late response. Bournemouth's attacking threat leaned heavily on one player, and it was not quite enough.
A substitute's goal rescued the point
Ramsey came off the bench and turned his one shot into a goal. His 88th-minute equaliser was worth +1.0 FN xPts, a large jump in Newcastle's expected points, while Thiaw's own goal had cost them −0.5. It was also the only goal of the second half, and it turned a defeat into a draw.
Player of the match
Marcus Tavernier 8.1Dominant
He scored once and put four of his five shots on target.
Most of Marcus Tavernier's FN Score came from what he did in front of goal, and he added seven duels won out of ten plus a key pass. His ninth-minute opener put Bournemouth ahead for around 79 minutes. Even so, the visitors were pegged back in the 88th minute, so his work earned only one point.
Game state
0-10-21-22-2
Newcastle ahead 0 min · level 11 min · Bournemouth ahead 79 min
- Jacob Ramsey — off the bench 27 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
9'
Marcus Tavernier
Goal
+0.6
35'
Malick Thiaw
Own goal
−0.5
37'
Harvey Barnes
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Lewis Hall +0.2
+0.5
88'
Jacob Ramsey
Goal
+1.0
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −1.1→ League points won 1
Bournemouth
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.6Time effect +0.9→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
NewcastleBournemouth
0.71Expected goals (xG)1.37
Compared with usual
Newcastle
3 matches this season, all competitions baseline
Timeline
- 9'
Goal
Marcus Tavernier league goal #2
- 28'
Yellow
Anthony Elanga
- 35'
Goal
Malick Thiaw (OG)
- 37'
Goal
Harvey Barnes league goal #1 assist Lewis Hall
- 57'
Yellow
Yoane Wissa
- 63'
Sub
Lewis Miley → Jacob Ramsey
- 63'
Sub
Joe Willock → Matías Fernández-Pardo
- 66'
Yellow
Justin Kluivert
- 76'
Sub
Tyler Adams → Lewis Cook
- 76'
Sub
Justin Kluivert → David Brooks
- 77'
Sub
Nico González → Sean Steur
- 77'
Sub
Anthony Elanga → Jacob Murphy
- 87'
Yellow
Adrien Truffert
- 88'
Goal
Jacob Ramsey league goal #1
- 89'
Sub
Marcus Tavernier → Daniel Jebbison
- 89'
Sub
Rayan → Ben Gannon-Doak
- 90'
Sub
Lewis Hall → Tino Livramento
- 90+4'
Yellow
Adam Smith
- 90+6'
Sub
Alex Scott → Ryan Christie
Category leaders
- Key passesAnthony Elanga3
- Duels wonAntónio Silva9/13
- DribblesAmar Dedić3/4
- Defensive actionsSven Botman5
- ShotsMarcus Tavernier5 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonAlex Scott5
#Newcastle#Bournemouth#Premier League#Marcus Tavernier#Jacob Ramsey#Harvey Barnes
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.