Le Havre 1-2 Brest: Doumbia's brace outweighs 18 shots
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 18 shots, just four on target for Le Havre
- Brest led for 78 of 90 minutes
- 12' penalty worth +0.8 FN xPts
Plenty of shots, only one goal
Le Havre had 18 shots but lost 2-1. Only 22% of them were on target, against 47% for Brest. Lionel Mpasi Nzau made eight saves, but he could not stop both goals.
An early penalty set the course
Kamory Doumbia's penalty in the 12th minute was worth +0.8 FN xPts, the most of any moment. Le Havre were reduced to ten men when Junior Mwanga was sent off in first-half stoppage time, and Doumbia added a second in the 51st minute from a Mama Baldé assist. Rayan Fofana pulled one back from the spot in the 79th minute, but Brest led for 78 minutes.
Player of the match
Kamory Doumbia 8.4Dominant
He scored twice, including a penalty, and put two of his three shots on target.
Doumbia earned most of his FN Score in attack, and he added two key passes as well. His goals in the 12th and 51st minutes put Brest in front for most of the match.
Game state
0-10-21-2
Le Havre ahead 0 min · level 12 min · Stade Brestois 29 ahead 78 min
- Le Havre: Red card 45+2' → ~45 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
12'
Kamory Doumbia
Pen goal
+0.8
45+2'
Junior Mwanga
Red card
−0.2
51'
Kamory Doumbia
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Mama Baldé +0.1
+0.3
79'
Rayan Fofana
Pen goal
+0.1
Le Havre
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments −0.1Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Stade Brestois 29
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.1Opponent moments +0.1Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Le HavreStade Brestois 29
2.02Expected goals (xG)2.37
Timeline
- 10'
Yellow
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
- 12'
Goal
Kamory Doumbia (pen) league goal #3
- 22'
Sub
Kenny Lala → Luc Zogbe
- 39'
Yellow
Kamory Doumbia
- 45+2'
Red
Junior Mwanga
- 46'
Sub
Rassoul Ndiaye → Sota Nakamura
- 51'
Goal
Kamory Doumbia league goal #4 assist Mama Baldé
- 62'
Sub
Josh Maja → Rayan Fofana
- 62'
Sub
Timothee Pembele → Enzo Koffi
- 67'
Sub
Mama Baldé → Noah Edjouma
- 75'
Sub
Hugo Magnetti → Joseph Nonge Boende
- 75'
Sub
Kamory Doumbia → Lucas Tousart
- 75'
Sub
Pathé Mboup → Giovani Versini
- 79'
Sub
Elias Jelert → Djibril Ouziad
- 79'
Goal
Rayan Fofana (pen) league goal #1
- 90+4'
Sub
Lionel Mpasi Nzau → Gauthier Gallon
Category leaders
- Key passesJoris Chotard3
- Duels wonLudovic Ajorque10/23
- DribblesDjibril Ouziad2/2
- Defensive actionsAhmed Touba11
- ShotsPathé Mboup4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonSimon Ebonog4
#Ligue 1#Le Havre#Brest#Kamory Doumbia#Rayan Fofana#Matchweek 3
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.