Udinese 1-2 Lazio: Guðmundsson's 88th-minute strike seals comeback
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 19 shots to 10: Lazio had the greater volume
- xG 0.85 v 1.83: better chances for Lazio
- 88' winner worth +1.8 FN xPts
Lazio's chances justified the turnaround
Jesper Karlström put Udinese ahead early in the second half, but Davide Frattesi levelled in the 75th minute. Lazio created the better chances, 1.83 xG to 0.85, so the comeback looks earned on the numbers.
A substitute breaks the deadlock
Albert Guðmundsson's 88th-minute goal, set up by Danilho Doekhi, was worth +1.8 FN xPts. It broke the stalemate and came after he had been on the pitch for 10 minutes, including stoppage time.
Player of the match
Danilho Doekhi 7.9Strong
He set up the 88th-minute winner and completed 56 of 59 passes with two key passes.
Doekhi added to Lazio's attack with an assist and two key passes, and he kept their build-up tidy with 56 accurate passes from 59. His assist led directly to the 88th-minute winner.
Game state
1-01-11-2
Udinese ahead 26 min · level 62 min · Lazio ahead 2 min
- Albert Guðmundsson — off the bench 10 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
49'
Jesper Karlström
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Keinan Davis +0.4
+1.2
75'
Davide Frattesi
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Mattia Zaccagni +0.3
+1.0
88'
Albert Guðmundsson
Goal · scorer +1.3 · assist Danilho Doekhi +0.5
+1.8
Udinese
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −2.5Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0
Lazio
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +2.8Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
UdineseLazio
0.85Expected goals (xG)1.83
Compared with usual
Udinese
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | |
| Shots | 10 | 13.8 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 13.5 | |
| Possession | 40% | 43% | |
| Passes | 359 | 405.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 80.8% | |
| Corners | 2 | 3 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 14 | |
Lazio
3 matches this season, all competitions baseline
Timeline
- 13'
Yellow
Jakub Piotrowski
- 15'
Sub
Jakub Piotrowski → Lennon Miller
- 23'
Yellow
Lennon Miller
- 25'
Yellow
Gustav Isaksen
- 38'
Sub
Oumar Solet → Christian Kabasele
- 45+3'
Yellow
Jesper Karlström
- 46'
Sub
Unai Gómez → Vakoun Issouf Bayo
- 49'
Goal
Jesper Karlström league goal #1 assist Keinan Davis
- 53'
Sub
Gustav Isaksen → Matteo Cancellieri
- 53'
Sub
Andrea Pinamonti → Tijjani Noslin
- 67'
Yellow
Vakoun Issouf Bayo
- 75'
Goal
Davide Frattesi league goal #3 assist Mattia Zaccagni
- 76'
Sub
James Abankwah → Nicolò Bertola
- 76'
Sub
Keinan Davis → Oier Zarraga
- 80'
Sub
Davide Frattesi → Albert Guðmundsson
- 84'
Yellow
Nicolò Bertola
- 88'
Goal
Albert Guðmundsson league goal #1 assist Danilho Doekhi
- 90+1'
Sub
Mattia Zaccagni → Alfonso Pedraza
Category leaders
- Key passesMatteo Cancellieri4
- Duels wonNuno Tavares8/12
- DribblesLennon Miller3/4
- Defensive actionsLennon Miller8
- ShotsMattia Zaccagni4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonNuno Tavares4
#Serie A#Udinese#Lazio#Danilho Doekhi#Albert Guðmundsson#Davide Frattesi
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.