Dortmund 3-0 Paderborn: Nmecha's late brace from the bench
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- No shots on target from 10 Paderborn attempts
- 85 minutes in front after the 5' opener
- xG 1.76 for three goals, +1.24 over expectation
An early lead that lasted 85 minutes
Dortmund went ahead through Fábio Silva in the fifth minute, with Serhou Guirassy providing the pass, and spent 85 minutes in front from there. Paderborn did not register a shot on target in the match. Because the early lead was never threatened, the later goals served to widen the gap rather than to rescue the result.
Fewer shots, sharper finishing
Dortmund's shot count was below their 21.3 average across four matches this season, yet 57% of their efforts were on target. That points to accuracy over volume as the way they won this one. Guirassy also had two goals ruled out by VAR in the first half, so the margin could have been wider before the interval.
Paderborn's shots carried little threat
Paderborn had 10 shots, none of them on target, with an xG per shot of just 0.05. That suggests they rarely got into dangerous positions. Goalkeeper Nahuel Noll made five saves to keep the scoreline respectable for a while, but it was not enough to prevent a heavy defeat.
Substitutes finished the job
Dortmund's goals after the hour came from the bench. Maximilian Beier set up Nmecha in the 80th minute, and Marcel Sabitzer provided the pass for his second in the 89th. In terms of points, the opener was worth +0.5 FN xPts, while the later goals were worth little because Dortmund were already comfortably ahead.
Player of the match
Felix Nmecha 8.6Dominant
Two goals in 25 minutes off the bench earned him the top FN Score.
Nmecha's value came almost entirely from his attacking output: both of his shots were on target and both went in, and he completed two of three dribbles. He also won four of seven duels in his 25 minutes. With Dortmund 1-0 up after Silva's early goal, his strikes in the 80th and 89th minutes stretched the lead to three.
Game state
1-02-03-0
Borussia Dortmund ahead 85 min · level 5 min · SC Paderborn 07 ahead 0 min
- Marcel Sabitzer — off the bench 25 min · 0G 1A
- Felix Nmecha — off the bench 25 min · 2G 0A
- Maximilian Beier — off the bench 13 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
5'
Fábio Silva
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Serhou Guirassy +0.2
+0.5
80'
Felix Nmecha
Goal · assist Maximilian Beier
+0.1
89'
Felix Nmecha
Goal · assist Marcel Sabitzer
0.0
Borussia Dortmund
Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +0.6Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
SC Paderborn 07
Expected (last two seasons) 0.5Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.4Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07
1.76Expected goals (xG)0.49
Compared with usual
Borussia Dortmund
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 3.3 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | |
| Shots | 14 | 21.3 | |
| On target | 8 | 7 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 10.3 | |
| Possession | 55% | 56.3% | |
| Passes | 553 | 502.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 86.3% | |
| Corners | 7 | 8 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10.5 | |
SC Paderborn 07
3 matches this season, all competitions baseline
Timeline
- 5'
Goal
Fábio Silva league goal #2 assist Serhou Guirassy
- 31'
VAR
Serhou Guirassy
- 39'
Yellow
Laurin Ulrich
- 45+3'
VAR
Serhou Guirassy
- 64'
Sub
Ethan Nwaneri → Marcel Sabitzer
- 64'
Sub
Joey Veerman → Felix Nmecha
- 64'
Sub
Fábio Silva → Carney Chukwuemeka
- 66'
Yellow
Jobe Bellingham
- 67'
Sub
Laurin Curda → Clemens Lippmann
- 67'
Sub
Gabriel Vidović → Oliver Batista Meier
- 67'
Sub
Stefano Marino → Steffen Tigges
- 77'
Sub
Nico Schlotterbeck → Ramy Bensebaini
- 77'
Sub
Julian Ryerson → Maximilian Beier
- 77'
Sub
Laurin Ulrich → Luka Djuric
- 80'
Goal
Felix Nmecha league goal #1 assist Maximilian Beier
- 82'
Sub
Mattes Hansen → Rayan Philippe
- 89'
Goal
Felix Nmecha league goal #2 assist Marcel Sabitzer
Category leaders
- Key passesEthan Nwaneri3
- Duels wonNico Schlotterbeck12/17
- DribblesFábio Silva3/3
- Defensive actionsNico Schlotterbeck11
- ShotsSerhou Guirassy3 (on target 3)
#Borussia Dortmund#SC Paderborn 07#Bundesliga#Felix Nmecha#Fábio Silva#Nico Schlotterbeck
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.