Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich: Flemming strikes late after Disasi red
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 0.62 v 1.67: Ipswich had the better chances
- Shots conceded: 12 despite the 34' red card
- Flemming's 90' winner: +1.8 FN xPts
Ipswich climb from 14th to fifth
Crystal Palace went ahead in the 14th minute, saw Ipswich turn the match around before the break, and pulled level in the 75th minute, only to concede again in the 90th. Ipswich's late winner lifted them from 14th to fifth in the table, while Palace stayed 14th on three points.
Palace stayed in it despite Disasi's red
Axel Disasi was sent off in the 34th minute, yet Palace were not simply pinned back. They allowed 12 shots, below their four-match season average of 18.8. Quinten Timber's work in midfield, 13 duels won from 15, appears to be part of the reason they were not overrun.
Ipswich's shots were the sharper ones
Both sides outscored their xG, Palace by 1.38 and Ipswich by 1.33, but Ipswich's shots were the more dangerous ones, at 0.14 xG per shot against Palace's 0.06. Palace did get nine of their 11 shots away from inside the box, but only four of them found the target.
Flemming, off the bench, finishes it
Palace hit back through Jørgen Strand Larsen in the 75th minute, a goal set up by Daichi Kamada and worth +0.9 FN xPts. But Zian Flemming, introduced in the 63rd minute, struck in the 90th minute. At 2-2 that goal was worth +1.8 FN xPts to Ipswich. Flemming had three shots in 27 minutes, two on target.
Player of the match
Leif Davis 8.1Dominant
He scored once and assisted once, both before half-time.
Leif Davis did his damage in attack. He set up Emersonn's equaliser in the 23rd minute and scored the 45th-minute goal that put Ipswich 2-1 up at the break, adding two shots and a key pass. That lead gave Ipswich about 30 minutes in front before Palace levelled in the 75th minute.
Game state
1-01-11-22-22-3
Crystal Palace ahead 9 min · level 51 min · Ipswich ahead 30 min
- Crystal Palace: Red card 34' → ~56 min a player down
- Zian Flemming — off the bench 27 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
14'
Anan Khalaili
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Daichi Kamada +0.2
+0.7
23'
Emersonn
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Leif Davis +0.2
+0.7
34'
Axel Disasi
Red card
−0.4
45'
Leif Davis
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Emersonn +0.3
+0.9
75'
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Daichi Kamada +0.3
+0.9
90'
Zian Flemming
Goal
+1.8
Crystal Palace
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −2.5Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Ipswich
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +3.4Opponent moments −1.7Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Crystal PalaceIpswich
0.62Expected goals (xG)1.67
Compared with usual
Crystal Palace
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | |
| Shots | 11 | 9.5 | |
| On target | 4 | 3.8 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 18.8 | |
| Possession | 47% | 40.8% | |
| Passes | 388 | 416 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82.5% | |
| Corners | 6 | 1 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 10 | |
Ipswich
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2.3 | |
| Shots | 12 | 12 | |
| On target | 6 | 5.5 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 19 | |
| Possession | 53% | 41.5% | |
| Passes | 445 | 371.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81.8% | |
| Corners | 3 | 4 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 10.3 | |
Timeline
- 14'
Goal
Anan Khalaili league goal #1 assist Daichi Kamada
- 23'
Goal
Emersonn league goal #2 assist Leif Davis
- 34'
Red
Axel Disasi
- 37'
Sub
Yéremy Pino → Takehiro Tomiyasu
- 43'
Yellow
Jack Clarke
- 45'
Goal
Leif Davis league goal #2 assist Emersonn
- 58'
Yellow
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
- 62'
Sub
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku → Jaden Philogene-Bidace
- 63'
Sub
Emersonn → Zian Flemming
- 63'
Sub
Jack Clarke → Daizen Maeda
- 70'
Yellow
Saša Lukić
- 75'
Goal
Jørgen Strand Larsen league goal #1 assist Daichi Kamada
- 77'
Sub
Tyrick Mitchell → Ben Chilwell
- 77'
Sub
Adam Wharton → Will Hughes
- 77'
Sub
Saša Lukić → Florentino Luís
- 84'
Sub
Daichi Kamada → Jefferson Lerma
- 84'
Sub
Jørgen Strand Larsen → Zavier Gozo
- 88'
Sub
Jacob Greaves → Abdoul Ouattara
- 90'
Goal
Zian Flemming league goal #1
- 90+4'
Yellow
Chris Richards
Category leaders
- Key passesDara O'Shea3
- Duels wonQuinten Timber13/15
- DribblesQuinten Timber3/4
- Defensive actionsQuinten Timber8
- ShotsAnan Khalaili4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonHonest Ahanor5
#Premier League#Crystal Palace#Ipswich#Leif Davis#Zian Flemming#Quinten Timber
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.