Mainz 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt: same xG, sharper finishing
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 2.12 v 2.04: chance quality was level
- xG per shot 0.19 v 0.12
- 43' penalty miss, 45' goal: 0-2 at half-time
Level on xG, three goals apart in quality
The expected-goals totals were almost level, yet the scoreline was not. Frankfurt's shots were worth 0.19 xG each against 0.12 for Mainz, which suggests they got more from their chances. Mainz managed 18 shots but scored only once.
A missed penalty, then a second goal
Can Uzun's ninth-minute opener was worth +0.7 FN xPts. Mainz then saw Nadiem Amiri's penalty miss in the 43rd minute cost them −0.6 FN xPts, and Jonathan Burkardt scored two minutes later to make it 0-2 at the break. Phillip Tietz's goal in the 89th minute came far too late to matter.
Player of the match
Can Uzun 8.8Dominant
He scored in the 9th and 60th minutes and put both of his shots on target.
Uzun earned most of his FN Score in attack, with two goals from two shots on target and two key passes. His early opener put Frankfurt in front, and his second, set up by Mario Götze in the 60th minute, made it 3-0.
Game state
0-10-20-31-3
FSV Mainz 05 ahead 0 min · level 9 min · Eintracht Frankfurt ahead 81 min
- Otto Ruoppi — off the bench 9 min · 0G 1A
- Mario Götze — off the bench 31 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
9'
Can Uzun
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Jonathan Burkardt +0.2
+0.7
43'
Nadiem Amiri
Pen miss
−0.6
45'
Jonathan Burkardt
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Jeremiaha Maluze +0.2
+0.5
60'
Can Uzun
Goal · assist Mario Götze
+0.1
89'
Phillip Tietz
Goal · assist Otto Ruoppi
0.0
FSV Mainz 05
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments −0.6Opponent moments −1.2Time effect +0.5→ League points won 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.3Opponent moments +0.7Time effect −0.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
FSV Mainz 05Eintracht Frankfurt
2.12Expected goals (xG)2.04
Compared with usual
FSV Mainz 05
3 matches this season, all competitions baseline
Timeline
- 9'
Goal
Can Uzun league goal #1 assist Jonathan Burkardt
- 41'
Yellow
Raphael Onyedika
- 43'
Pen miss
Nadiem Amiri
- 45'
Goal
Jonathan Burkardt league goal #2 assist Jeremiaha Maluze
- 46'
Sub
Jae-sung Lee → Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 59'
Sub
Noël Aséko → Mario Götze
- 60'
Goal
Can Uzun league goal #2 assist Mario Götze
- 62'
Sub
Anthony Caci → Danny da Costa
- 70'
Yellow
Mario Götze
- 74'
Sub
Sheraldo Becker → Benedict Hollerbach
- 74'
Sub
Phillipp Mwene → Rael Nakuzola
- 74'
Sub
Jonathan Burkardt → Younes Ebnoutalib
- 85'
Sub
Nadiem Amiri → Otto Ruoppi
- 87'
Sub
Elias Baum → Timothy Chandler
- 87'
Sub
Can Uzun → Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
- 89'
Goal
Phillip Tietz league goal #3 assist Otto Ruoppi
Category leaders
- Key passesNadiem Amiri3
- Duels wonRobin Koch9/14
- DribblesRansford Yeboah Königsdörffer2/3
- Defensive actionsFabio Gruber9
- ShotsPhillip Tietz4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonKeita Kosugi3
#Mainz#Eintracht Frankfurt#Bundesliga#Can Uzun#Jonathan Burkardt#Noah Atubolu
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.