Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4
Ibrahima Baldé 37'
Noah Mbamba 39'
HT 2:0
Casper Tengstedt 48'
Thomas Jørgensen 69'
Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 19:45 (UK) · Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir, Lorient
Lorient 8th · 5 pts|Toulouse 17th → 15th · 2 pts

Lorient led 2-0 at the break, but Toulouse hit back twice after it, with Cristian Cásseres Jr. providing both assists.

Player of the matchCristian Cásseres Jr.9.1Decisive moment37' Ibrahima Baldé+0.9

Lorient 2-2 Toulouse: Cásseres creates both goals in the fightback

Key numbers

  • xG 0.93 vs 1.63: Toulouse made the better chances
  • Lorient scored in the 37' and 39' to lead 2-0
  • Cásseres: 2 assists, 5 key passes

Lorient let a two-goal lead slip

Lorient looked in control after two goals in three minutes, Ibrahima Baldé scoring in the 37th and Noah Mbamba in the 39th, both set up by Panos Katseris. Toulouse hit back after the break, with Casper Tengstedt scoring in the 48th minute and Thomas Jørgensen levelling in the 69th.

Toulouse made the better chances

Toulouse had the better chances, with an xG of 1.63 against 0.93, while Lorient scored twice from fewer opportunities. Cristian Cásseres Jr. provided both assists, and the 69th-minute equaliser was worth +0.9 FN xPts.

Player of the match
Cristian Cásseres Jr. 9.1Dominant

He supplied two assists, five key passes and six tackles.

Most of his FN Score came from attacking work. Both Toulouse goals, in the 48th and 69th minutes, came from his passes, turning a 2-0 deficit into a draw.

Game state

1-02-02-12-2
Lorient ahead 32 min · level 58 min · Toulouse ahead 0 min
  • Casper Tengstedt — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

37' Ibrahima Baldé Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Panos Katseris +0.3 +0.9
39' Noah Mbamba Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Panos Katseris +0.2 +0.5
48' Casper Tengstedt Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Cristian Cásseres Jr. +0.1 +0.4
69' Thomas Jørgensen Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Cristian Cásseres Jr. +0.3 +0.9
Lorient Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −1.7Time effect 0.0→ League points won 1
Toulouse Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −1.2Time effect −0.5→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

LorientToulouse
41%Possession59%
0.93Expected goals (xG)1.63
0.09xG per shot0.13
10Shots13
3Shots on target4
30%Shots on target %31%
6Shots in box13
445Passes657
84%Pass accuracy88%
4Corners3
2Saves1
8Fouls18
1Yellow cards0
2Offsides1

Compared with usual

Lorient

3 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg

Toulouse

3 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg

Timeline

  • 17' Yellow Panos Katseris
  • 37' Goal Ibrahima Baldé league goal #1 assist Panos Katseris
  • 39' Goal Noah Mbamba league goal #1 assist Panos Katseris
  • 46' Sub Rafik Messali → Niko Sigur
  • 46' Sub Santiago Hidalgo → Casper Tengstedt
  • 48' Goal Casper Tengstedt league goal #1 assist Cristian Cásseres Jr.
  • 58' Sub Panos Katseris → Théo Le Bris
  • 58' Sub Gabin Bernardeau → Isak Steiner Jensen
  • 67' Sub Ilyas Azizi → Sion Oppong
  • 69' Goal Thomas Jørgensen league goal #1 assist Cristian Cásseres Jr.
  • 70' Sub Noah Mbamba → Arthur Avom Ebong
  • 70' Sub Ibrahima Baldé → Mamadou Koné
  • 85' Sub Christ Tapé → Ismail Diallo
  • 85' Sub Niklas Schmidt → Alexis Vossah

Category leaders

  • Key passesCristian Cásseres Jr.5
  • Duels wonDembo Sylla9/14
  • DribblesThéo Le Bris2/2
  • Defensive actionsDembo Sylla7
  • ShotsThomas Jørgensen5 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonJean Victor Makengo5
#Ligue 1#Lorient#Toulouse#Cristian Cásseres Jr.#Panos Katseris

This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.