Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal: Guimarães strikes after Le Fée's miss
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 1.8 v 1.88: chances were level
- 56' miss −0.9 FN xPts; 58' goal +1.1
- Sunderland fouls: 18 v a 10.3 four-match average
Sunderland's miss was punished at once
Sunderland had the chance to go ahead in the 56th minute, but Enzo Le Fée's penalty did not find the net. Arsenal struck two minutes later through Bruno Guimarães, converting a Declan Rice assist. Bukayo Saka added a penalty in the 90th minute, his third league goal of the season, and Reinildo Mandava was sent off for a second yellow card deep into stoppage time.
Chances were level; the finishing was not
Sunderland took more shots, but expected goals were nearly level at 1.8 and 1.88. The difference was execution. Sunderland put three shots on target and scored none, and David Raya saved the penalty that would have put them in front. At the other end Arsenal found the target five times.
Arsenal won while shooting less than usual
Arsenal were quieter in attack than usual, taking fewer shots than their four-match season average. They also faced 12, well above the 7.3 they had conceded on average. The defence carried more load and kept a clean sheet, with Gabriel Magalhães the leading duel winner on the pitch.
A miss worth −0.9, a goal worth +1.1
Le Fée's miss cost Sunderland −0.9 FN xPts, and Guimarães's goal that followed was worth +1.1 FN xPts to Arsenal. Turning a goalless match into a lead set the direction for the rest of the evening, with Saka's late penalty merely confirming it. Rice's assist was part of that moment.
Player of the match
Declan Rice 8.1Dominant
He made three key passes, set up a goal and completed 59 of 68 passes.
Declan Rice earned most of his FN Score in attack, with three key passes and the assist for Guimarães's goal in the 58th minute. He also won all three of his duels and made two tackles. The assist arrived two minutes after Sunderland's penalty miss, helping Arsenal turn a goalless match into a lead before Sunderland could build on the moment.
Game state
0-10-2
Sunderland ahead 0 min · level 58 min · Arsenal ahead 32 min
- Bruno Guimarães — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
56'
Enzo Le Fée
Pen miss
−0.9
58'
Bruno Guimarães
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Declan Rice +0.3
+1.1
90'
Bukayo Saka
Pen goal
+0.1
90+6'
Reinildo Mandava
Red card
0.0
Sunderland
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments −0.9Opponent moments −0.9Time effect +0.8→ League points won 0
Arsenal
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.2Opponent moments +0.7Time effect −0.6→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
SunderlandArsenal
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.88
Compared with usual
Sunderland
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.75 | |
| Shots | 12 | 12.5 | |
| On target | 3 | 4 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 10 | |
| Possession | 43% | 52.3% | |
| Passes | 284 | 437.3 | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 18 | 10.3 | |
Arsenal
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.25 | |
| Shots | 11 | 17.3 | |
| On target | 5 | 6.3 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 7.3 | |
| Possession | 57% | 59.5% | |
| Passes | 386 | 553.8 | |
| Corners | 2 | 5.8 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10 | |
Timeline
- 28'
Yellow
Reinildo Mandava
- 46'
Sub
Ben White → Jurriën Timber
- 46'
Sub
Myles Lewis-Skelly → Bruno Guimarães
- 56'
Pen miss
Enzo Le Fée
- 58'
Goal
Bruno Guimarães league goal #1 assist Declan Rice
- 66'
Yellow
Daniel Ballard
- 69'
Yellow
Granit Xhaka
- 70'
Sub
Nilson Angulo → Wilson Isidor
- 76'
Sub
Thomas Meunier → Malick Fofana
- 81'
Yellow
Brian Brobbey
- 81'
Sub
Declan Rice → Martín Zubimendi
- 81'
Sub
Christos Tzolis → Eberechi Eze
- 85'
Sub
Martin Ødegaard → Mikel Merino
- 90'
Goal
Bukayo Saka (pen) league goal #3
- 90+1'
Yellow
Nordi Mukiele
- 90+1'
Yellow
Gabriel Magalhães
- 90+3'
Yellow
Kai Havertz
- 90+6'
Second yellow
Reinildo Mandava
Category leaders
- Key passesMartin Ødegaard5
- Duels wonGabriel Magalhães10/12
- DribblesGranit Xhaka2/3
- Defensive actionsEzri Konsa5
- ShotsEnzo Le Fée3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonBukayo Saka4
#Sunderland#Arsenal#Premier League#Declan Rice#Bruno Guimarães#Bukayo Saka
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.