Leeds 4-1 Newcastle: Calvert-Lewin's brace and a 3-0 half-time lead
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 7 shots against a 14.6 season average
- 4 goals from 2.08 xG
- Ahead for about 58 of 90 minutes
Three goals before the break
Leeds had the match in hand by half-time. Lewis Miley put through his own net in the 32nd minute, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin added goals in the 34th and 45th to make it 3-0. Noah Okafor scored a fourth in the 59th minute, and Bazoumana Touré's strike in the 90th minute was Newcastle's only reply. Leeds were ahead for about 58 minutes of the 90.
Newcastle starved of shots
Newcastle simply did not get enough efforts away. Seven shots was a long way below their average of 14.6 across five matches this season. Leeds also allowed far fewer than their own five-match average, yet enough of those shots were on target that James Trafford needed four saves to keep the margin intact.
Leeds finished above expectation
Leeds scored four goals from 2.08 xG, so they outperformed what their chances suggested. One of those four was an own goal, though, so finishing alone does not explain it. Anton Stach recorded the most key passes of any player on the pitch, with three, and was the main supplier in midfield.
Newcastle's day tilted by the 34th minute
The match turned between the 32nd and 34th minutes. Miley's own goal cost Newcastle −0.7 FN xPts, and Calvert-Lewin's goal for 2-0 added +0.4 for Leeds. By the time it became 4-0 in the 59th minute, further goals were worth close to zero in FN xPts, as the outcome was already settled.
Player of the match
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 8.2Dominant
He scored twice and had the highest FN Score in the match.
Calvert-Lewin earned most of his credit in attack, putting two of his three shots on target. His 34th-minute goal, set up by James Justin, made it 2-0 just after the own goal. He then scored again in the 45th minute, the minute after his booking, from a Tarik Muharemović assist, to make it 3-0 before the break. That took him to three league goals this season.
Game state
1-02-03-04-04-1
Leeds ahead 58 min · level 32 min · Newcastle ahead 0 min
- Bazoumana Touré — off the bench 33 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
32'
Lewis Miley
Own goal
−0.7
34'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist James Justin +0.1
+0.4
45'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Goal · assist Tarik Muharemović
+0.1
59'
Noah Okafor
Goal
0.0
90'
Bazoumana Touré
Goal
0.0
Leeds
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.5Opponent moments +0.9Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments −0.7Opponent moments −0.4Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
LeedsNewcastle
2.08Expected goals (xG)0.88
Compared with usual
Leeds
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 2.08 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 0.88 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 15 | 12.8 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.2 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 15.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.16 | |
| Possession | 50% | 45% | |
| Passes | 440 | 377.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 74.3% | |
| Corners | 5 | 4 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 11.4 | |
Newcastle
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 7 | 14.6 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.2 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 16.4 | |
| Possession | 50% | 51.8% | |
| Passes | 433 | 422.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82.8% | |
| Corners | 5 | 6.8 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 14 | |
Timeline
- 19'
Sub
Nico González → Sean Steur
- 32'
Goal
Lewis Miley (OG)
- 34'
Goal
Dominic Calvert-Lewin league goal #2 assist James Justin
- 44'
Yellow
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 45'
Goal
Dominic Calvert-Lewin league goal #3 assist Tarik Muharemović
- 54'
Yellow
Jacob Murphy
- 57'
Sub
Jacob Murphy → Bazoumana Touré
- 58'
Sub
Amar Dedić → Tino Livramento
- 58'
Sub
Matías Fernández-Pardo → Joe Willock
- 59'
Goal
Noah Okafor league goal #1
- 72'
Sub
Gabriel Gudmundsson → Melvin Bard
- 72'
Sub
Noah Okafor → Harry Wilson
- 72'
Sub
Ao Tanaka → Brenden Aaronson
- 78'
Sub
Dominic Calvert-Lewin → Lukas Nmecha
- 80'
Sub
Lewis Miley → Aladji Bamba
- 83'
Sub
Jayden Bogle → Daniel James
- 88'
Sub
Anton Stach → Sean Longstaff
- 90'
Goal
Bazoumana Touré league goal #1
- 90+1'
Yellow
Tino Livramento
Category leaders
- Key passesAnton Stach3
- Duels wonLewis Hall9/15
- DribblesDaniel James3/4
- Defensive actionsAnton Stach4
- ShotsJayden Bogle3 (on target 3)
#Leeds#Newcastle#Premier League#Dominic Calvert-Lewin#Noah Okafor#Bazoumana Touré
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.