Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis: four minutes turn the first half
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 38% possession, yet Betis won 2-1
- 12 shots on target vs season avg 5.2
- Goals in 39' and 43' flipped the match
Betis win with little of the ball
Villarreal took the lead through Gerard Moreno in the 29th minute, but Real Betis hit back twice before the break to win the match. They did it with just 38% possession, and the victory lifted them from seventh to third on 12 points. Villarreal stay 18th on two.
Two goals in four minutes decided it
Cucho Hernández's 39th-minute equaliser was worth +0.6 FN xPts, and Natan's goal four minutes later added +0.9. Villarreal put eight shots on target yet found no way back, with Álvaro Valles making seven saves. Betis's 12 efforts on target compare with a season average of 5.2 across five matches.
Player of the match
Natan 8.4Dominant
He scored the winner, made five tackles and won seven of eight duels to lead the FN Score.
Natan scored the 43rd-minute goal that put Betis ahead, then did much of the unglamorous work as well, winning seven of his eight duels. Few players in the match combined a decisive goal with that volume of defending.
Game state
1-01-11-2
Villarreal ahead 10 min · level 33 min · Real Betis ahead 47 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
29'
Gerard Moreno
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Renato Veiga +0.2
+0.7
39'
Cucho Hernández
Goal
+0.6
43'
Natan
Goal
+0.9
Villarreal
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.5Time effect −1.1→ League points won 0
Real Betis
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −0.5Time effect +1.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
VillarrealReal Betis
1.89Expected goals (xG)3.52
Compared with usual
Villarreal
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2.2 | |
| xG | 1.89 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 3.52 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 14 | 14.8 | |
| On target | 8 | 6 | |
| Shots faced | 26 | 14.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 62% | 58.6% | |
| Passes | 623 | 561.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 88.4% | |
| Corners | 7 | 7.2 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 11.8 | |
Real Betis
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 3.52 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 1.89 | 1.9 | |
| Shots | 26 | 16.6 | |
| On target | 12 | 5.2 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 14 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 38% | 52.6% | |
| Passes | 378 | 514 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 87% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 10.2 | |
Timeline
- 20'
VAR
Tajon Buchanan
- 29'
Goal
Gerard Moreno league goal #2 assist Renato Veiga
- 39'
Goal
Cucho Hernández league goal #1
- 43'
Goal
Natan league goal #1
- 54'
Sub
Pape Gueye → Nathan-Dylan Saliba
- 55'
Sub
Tajon Buchanan → Alberto Moleiro
- 57'
Sub
Isco → Dani Ceballos
- 62'
Sub
Gerard Moreno → Tani Oluwaseyi
- 67'
Sub
Rodrigo Riquelme → Nelson Deossa
- 67'
Sub
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli → Antony
- 76'
Sub
Santiago Mouriño → Alexander Freeman
- 76'
Sub
Nicolas Pépé → Ayoze Pérez
- 84'
Yellow
Renato Veiga
- 84'
Sub
Cucho Hernández → Giovani Lo Celso
- 84'
Sub
Pablo Fornals → Facundo Bernal
Category leaders
- Key passesIsco4
- Duels wonNatan7/8
- DribblesGeorges Mikautadze4/10
- Defensive actionsRenato Veiga6
- ShotsGeorges Mikautadze4 (on target 4)
#Villarreal#Real Betis#La Liga#Natan#Cucho Hernández
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.