Malaga 1-3 Villarreal: Gueye's double turns it round
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 0.63 v 3.33: Villarreal had the better chances
- Only 5 shots against, vs 16.2 season average
- Sub Gueye: 2 goals in 53 minutes
Villarreal turned it round before the break
Malaga went ahead through Carlos Dotor in the 12th minute, but two goals before half-time left them 2-1 down. Villarreal allowed only five shots, well below their season average of 16.2 across six matches. The hosts led, yet the numbers show they rarely threatened afterwards.
Substitute Gueye made the difference
Pape Gueye, on from the 37th minute, struck the goal in the 45th minute that put Villarreal in front. It was worth +1.0 FN xPts, turning a deficit into a lead. His penalty in the 86th minute made it 3-1 but changed little. Villarreal's xG of 3.33 against Malaga's 0.63 suggests the scoreline was fair.
Player of the match
Pape Gueye 8.3Dominant
He scored twice in 53 minutes as a substitute and completed 41 of 47 passes.
Gueye earned most of his FN Score in attack, and both of his shots on target went in. His 45th-minute goal turned 1-1 into 2-1, and his penalty in the 86th minute gave Villarreal a two-goal cushion.
Game state
1-01-11-21-3
Malaga ahead 28 min · level 17 min · Villarreal ahead 45 min
- Pape Gueye — off the bench 53 min · 2G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
12'
Carlos Dotor
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Juan Cruz +0.2
+0.8
40'
Alberto Moleiro
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Ilias Akhomach +0.3
+0.9
45'
Pape Gueye
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Ayoze Pérez +0.3
+1.0
86'
Pape Gueye
Pen goal
+0.1
Malaga
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.9Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Villarreal
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
MalagaVillarreal
0.63Expected goals (xG)3.33
Compared with usual
Malaga
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0.4 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.63 | 0.94 | |
| xG against | 3.33 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 5 | 10.8 | |
| On target | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 13.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 37% | 52.6% | |
| Passes | 347 | 519.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 88% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 11.4 | |
Villarreal
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2.2 | |
| xG | 3.33 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 0.63 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 16 | 14.7 | |
| On target | 7 | 6.3 | |
| Shots faced | 5 | 16.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.21 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 63% | 59.2% | |
| Passes | 598 | 571.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 88.5% | |
| Corners | 8 | 7.2 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11 | |
Timeline
- 12'
Goal
Carlos Dotor league goal #1 assist Juan Cruz
- 34'
Yellow
Jose Salinas
- 37'
Sub
Santi Comesaña → Pape Gueye
- 40'
Goal
Alberto Moleiro league goal #1 assist Ilias Akhomach
- 42'
Yellow
Ilias Akhomach
- 45'
Goal
Pape Gueye league goal #2 assist Ayoze Pérez
- 46'
Sub
Jose Salinas → Rafa Garrido
- 46'
Sub
Juan Cruz → Dani Lorenzo
- 61'
Sub
Izan Merino → Joaquín Muñoz
- 61'
Sub
Carlos Dotor → Adrián Niño
- 63'
Sub
Ilias Akhomach → Carlos Romero
- 63'
Sub
Ayoze Pérez → Georges Mikautadze
- 68'
Yellow
David Larrubia
- 70'
Yellow
Einar Galilea
- 75'
Sub
Carlos Puga → Ramón Enríquez
- 79'
Yellow
Ramón Enríquez
- 80'
Sub
Alberto Moleiro → Santiago Mouriño
- 80'
Sub
Nathan-Dylan Saliba → Carlos Maciá
- 82'
VAR
Carlos Romero
- 85'
Yellow
Alfonso Herrero
- 86'
Goal
Pape Gueye (pen) league goal #3
Category leaders
- Key passesTajon Buchanan3
- Duels wonCarlos Puga10/16
- DribblesDavid Larrubia3/7
- Defensive actionsCarlos Puga9
- ShotsAlberto Moleiro3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonTajon Buchanan4
#La Liga#Malaga#Villarreal#Pape Gueye#Alberto Moleiro#Matchweek 6
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.