Newcastle 2-1 Hull City: early two-goal cushion holds
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 22 shots, 4 on target: Hull lacked a cutting edge
- Four fouls, far below Newcastle's six-match average
- Led for roughly 87 minutes, level for about three
Two Barnes assists open the match
Newcastle beat Hull City 2-1 at St James' Park. Joe Willock scored in the third minute and Lewis Hall in the seventh, both set up by Harvey Barnes, and the hosts then led for roughly 87 minutes. Hull were level for only about three, right at the start.
Hull had the volume, not the sting
Hull took 22 shots, well above their season average over six matches, yet only four were on target. Their xG per shot was 0.07, against Newcastle's 0.12. The numbers suggest plenty of attempts but few clean chances, with the volume bringing just one goal.
Few fouls, strong xG for Newcastle
Newcastle's xG of 1.44 was above their season average over six matches, and their four fouls were far fewer than usual. Barnes led the match with three key passes alongside his two assists. At the back, Lewis Miley had the most combined tackles, interceptions and blocks of anyone on the pitch.
One goal back was not enough
Willock's opener in the third minute was worth +0.6 FN xPts, the biggest figure of the match, because it turned 0-0 into 1-0. Wissa's penalty was saved by Konstantinos Tzolakis in first-half stoppage time, but the lead stayed intact. Mohamed Ali Cho's goal in the 67th minute never became an equaliser. The win lifted Newcastle from 12th to sixth on eight points.
Player of the match
Lewis Hall 8.4Dominant
He scored in the 7th minute, added two key passes and made three blocks.
Hall earned most of his FN Score in attack. His goal doubled the lead after Willock's opener, and Hull could only pull one back in the 67th minute. He also completed 63 of 68 passes, so he stayed involved in build-up. It was his first league goal of the season.
Game state
1-02-02-1
Newcastle ahead 87 min · level 3 min · Hull City ahead 0 min
- Mohamed Ali Cho — off the bench 27 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
3'
Joe Willock
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Harvey Barnes +0.2
+0.6
7'
Lewis Hall
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Harvey Barnes +0.1
+0.3
45+2'
Yoane Wissa
Pen miss
−0.1
67'
Mohamed Ali Cho
Goal · assist Mohamed Belloumi
+0.2
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −0.3Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3
Hull City
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
NewcastleHull City
1.44Expected goals (xG)1.59
Compared with usual
Newcastle
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 1.44 | 0.97 | |
| xG against | 1.59 | 1.9 | |
| Shots | 12 | 13.3 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.3 | |
| Shots faced | 22 | 16.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 56% | 51.5% | |
| Passes | 523 | 424.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 82.6% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.5 | |
| Fouls | 4 | 13.8 | |
Hull City
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.67 | |
| xG | 1.59 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 1.44 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 22 | 10.7 | |
| On target | 4 | 3.7 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 13.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 44% | 36.3% | |
| Passes | 382 | 330.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 73.6% | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.3 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 10.5 | |
Timeline
- 3'
Goal
Joe Willock league goal #2 assist Harvey Barnes
- 7'
Goal
Lewis Hall league goal #1 assist Harvey Barnes
- 29'
Yellow
Matt Crooks
- 39'
Yellow
Mohamed Belloumi
- 45+2'
Pen miss
Yoane Wissa
- 45+2'
Yellow
Konstantinos Tzolakis
- 45+3'
Yellow
Jacob Murphy
- 46'
Sub
Matt Crooks → Tim Iroegbunam
- 49'
Yellow
Ryan Giles
- 63'
Sub
Sorba Thomas → Mohamed Ali Cho
- 66'
Sub
Sean Steur → Fabian Schär
- 67'
Goal
Mohamed Ali Cho league goal #1 assist Mohamed Belloumi
- 74'
Sub
Matías Fernández-Pardo → Bazoumana Touré
- 78'
Sub
Regan Slater → Lucas Gourna-Douath
- 78'
Sub
John Egan → Robinio Vaz
- 83'
Sub
Mohamed Belloumi → Joe Gelhardt
- 87'
Sub
Joe Willock → Aladji Bamba
Category leaders
- Key passesHarvey Barnes3
- Duels wonMohamed Belloumi10/18
- DribblesMohamed Belloumi3/6
- Defensive actionsLewis Miley7
- ShotsMohamed Belloumi4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonJoe Willock3
#Newcastle#Hull City#Premier League#Lewis Hall#Joe Willock#Harvey Barnes
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.