Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry: a keeper's assist sinks Forest
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 24 shots to 10, yet Forest lost 0-1
- 0.05 xG per shot: volume without quality
- Pinnock: 5 blocks, a match-high 7 defensive actions
Coventry won despite taking far fewer shots
Coventry won at the City Ground with a single goal and a lot of defending. The first half finished goalless, and Jay DaSilva's strike in the 55th minute was the only goal of the match. Coventry then held the lead for about 35 minutes, while Forest never found an equaliser despite taking far more shots.
Plenty of shots, little danger for Forest
Forest's shooting volume never turned into real danger. They fired 24 shots, well above their season average over five matches, yet each was worth only 0.05 xG per shot, lower than usual. With so few of those efforts testing the goalkeeper, the quantity looks to have outrun the quality.
Coventry's back line held firm
Coventry kept a clean sheet despite having less of the ball. They had been conceding 2.5 goals a match across six matches this season, so this was a sharp change. Ethan Pinnock's five blocks led the effort, and he made more defensive actions than any other player in the match.
One breakthrough was all Coventry needed
The goal began with Carl Rushworth, the goalkeeper, who was credited with the assist for Jay DaSilva's finish in the 55th minute. Because it broke the deadlock, it was worth +1.2 FN xPts. Forest were chasing from then on, and in the 88th minute a goal for Igor Jesus was cancelled by VAR.
Player of the match
Jay DaSilva 7.8Strong
He scored Coventry's only goal, his first in the Premier League this season.
DaSilva earned his FN Score mainly through attacking output: two shots, one on target and it was the goal, plus three successful dribbles from three attempts. His strike in the 55th minute broke a goalless match and gave Coventry a lead they held to the end. He also added two interceptions and a block off the ball.
Game state
0-1
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 55 min · Coventry ahead 35 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
55'
Jay DaSilva
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Carl Rushworth +0.4
+1.2
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −1.0→ League points won 0
Coventry
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +1.2Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +1.0→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Nottingham ForestCoventry
1.1Expected goals (xG)0.67
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 0.8 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.1 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 0.67 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 24 | 13.2 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.4 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 11 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 62% | 44.8% | |
| Passes | 508 | 364.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 76.8% | |
| Corners | 6 | 2.8 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 15.6 | |
Coventry
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0.83 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2.5 | |
| xG | 0.67 | 1 | |
| xG against | 1.1 | 1.9 | |
| Shots | 10 | 11.3 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.8 | |
| Shots faced | 24 | 15.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 38% | 44.3% | |
| Passes | 311 | 385.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76.4% | |
| Corners | 2 | 3.8 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 13.3 | |
Timeline
- 46'
Sub
Ephron Mason-Clark → Loum Tchaouna
- 55'
Goal
Jay DaSilva league goal #1 assist Carl Rushworth
- 59'
Yellow
Liam Delap
- 59'
Sub
Dan Ndoye → Igor Jesus
- 73'
Sub
Ousmane Diomande → Chris Wood
- 74'
Sub
Jack Rudoni → Ellis Simms
- 83'
Sub
Daniel Muñoz → Luca Netz
- 83'
Sub
James McAtee → Ibrahim Sangaré
- 88'
VAR
Igor Jesus
- 90+1'
Sub
Caleb Yirenkyi → Joel Latibeaudiere
- 90+4'
Yellow
Jair
Category leaders
- Key passesMorgan Gibbs-White6
- Duels wonBrandon Thomas-Asante13/24
- DribblesLiam Delap4/4
- Defensive actionsEthan Pinnock7
- ShotsLiam Delap3 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonBrandon Thomas-Asante4
#Nottingham Forest#Coventry#Premier League#Jay DaSilva#Carl Rushworth#Ethan Pinnock
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.