Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre: two quick goals after the break
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 14 shots to 18: Toulouse won with fewer
- xG 1.95 v 2.34: Le Havre had better chances
- Five saves from Guillaume Restes held the lead
Toulouse strike twice after the interval
Toulouse were goalless at the break, then scored twice in two minutes and held on to win 3-2. Le Havre had more shots (18) and a higher xG (2.34), but their goals came in the 71st and 88th minutes, too late to level.
A penalty that opened up a two-goal cushion
The penalty in the 49th minute was worth +1.0 FN xPts, the largest value of any moment. After Josh Maja pulled one back, Thomas Jørgensen's goal in the 79th minute restored the two-goal lead, and Ally Samatta's strike in the 88th was not enough.
Player of the match
Thomas Jørgensen 8.8Dominant
He scored once, set up a goal, made three key passes and won a penalty.
Jørgensen won the penalty that broke the deadlock in the 49th minute and supplied the pass for the second goal two minutes later. When Le Havre made it 2-1, his own goal in the 79th minute put the two-goal cushion back in place.
Game state
1-02-02-13-13-2
Toulouse ahead 41 min · level 49 min · Le Havre ahead 0 min
- Sota Nakamura — off the bench 21 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
49'
Casper Tengstedt
Pen goal
+1.0
51'
Casper Tengstedt
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Thomas Jørgensen +0.1
+0.4
71'
Josh Maja
Goal · assist Sota Nakamura
+0.2
79'
Thomas Jørgensen
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Cristian Cásseres Jr. +0.1
+0.3
88'
Ally Samatta
Goal
+0.1
Toulouse
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −0.4Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3
Le Havre
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −1.3Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
ToulouseLe Havre
1.95Expected goals (xG)2.34
Compared with usual
Toulouse
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 1.95 | 2.3 | |
| xG against | 2.34 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 14 | 15 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 14.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.16 | |
| Possession | 53% | 52.5% | |
| Passes | 477 | 513.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 85.5% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.3 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 16.8 | |
Le Havre
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 0.5 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | |
| xG | 2.34 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.95 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 18 | 15 | |
| On target | 7 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 14.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 47% | 48.8% | |
| Passes | 406 | 397.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 82.5% | |
| Corners | 7 | 5.3 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 14.8 | |
Timeline
- 34'
Yellow
Christ Tapé
- 49'
Goal
Casper Tengstedt (pen) league goal #2
- 51'
Goal
Casper Tengstedt league goal #3 assist Thomas Jørgensen
- 58'
Yellow
Niko Sigur
- 69'
Sub
Djibril Ouziad → Sota Nakamura
- 69'
Sub
Rayan Fofana → Enzo Koffi
- 70'
Sub
Vincent Sasso → Junior Mwanga
- 71'
Goal
Josh Maja league goal #1 assist Sota Nakamura
- 72'
Sub
Rafik Messali → Alexis Vossah
- 72'
Sub
Casper Tengstedt → Santiago Hidalgo
- 72'
Sub
Ilyas Azizi → Sion Oppong
- 74'
Yellow
Seny Koumbassa
- 79'
Goal
Thomas Jørgensen league goal #2 assist Cristian Cásseres Jr.
- 81'
Yellow
Sota Nakamura
- 82'
Sub
Josh Maja → Ismail Bouneb
- 82'
Sub
Amir Richardson → Rassoul Ndiaye
- 88'
Goal
Ally Samatta league goal #2
Category leaders
- Key passesThomas Jørgensen3
- Duels wonRayan Fofana10/20
- DribblesRafik Messali6/6
- Defensive actionsSeny Koumbassa5
- ShotsCasper Tengstedt4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonRayan Fofana7
#Toulouse#Le Havre#Ligue 1#Thomas Jørgensen#Casper Tengstedt#Guillaume Restes
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.