AC Milan 3-0 Lecce: fewer shots, far better ones
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 2.19 v 0.21: a wide gap in shot quality
- 0.22 xG per shot against a 0.09 season average
- Led for about 76 of 90 minutes from the 14th
In front from the 14th minute
AC Milan beat Lecce 3-0 at San Siro and led for about 76 minutes after Christian Pulisic scored in the 14th minute. Lecce spent all of that time chasing the match, and never found a way back into it.
Fewer shots, but better ones
Milan shot less than usual this season, yet their shots were far better. Their xG per shot was 0.22, well above their five-match average of 0.09, which points to better positions being found inside the box.
Lecce offered little with the ball
Lecce barely had the ball, with 31% of possession against a season average of 43.4%, and their xG per shot was only 0.03. Mike Maignan stopped every shot on target they managed, preserving the clean sheet.
An early goal set the terms
Pulisic's opener in the 14th minute, set up by Strahinja Pavlović, was worth +0.8 FN xPts, the largest value of any moment. Adrien Rabiot added the second in the 61st minute from a Gonçalo Ramos assist, and substitute Diego Moreira scored the third in the 73rd.
Player of the match
Strahinja Pavlović 8.6Dominant
A defender who set up the opener and finished first in the FN Score.
Pavlović earned most through attacking contribution, chiefly the assist for Pulisic in the 14th minute that gave Milan a lead they held for about 76 minutes. He also anchored the build-up with 98 accurate passes from 107, and won five of his seven duels in a side that kept a clean sheet.
Game state
1-02-03-0
AC Milan ahead 76 min · level 14 min · Lecce ahead 0 min
- Diego Moreira — off the bench 21 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
14'
Christian Pulisic
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Strahinja Pavlović +0.2
+0.8
61'
Adrien Rabiot
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Gonçalo Ramos +0.1
+0.3
73'
Diego Moreira
Goal
0.0
AC Milan
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +1.1Opponent moments 0.0Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Lecce
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
AC MilanLecce
2.19Expected goals (xG)0.21
Compared with usual
AC Milan
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.19 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 0.21 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 10 | 14.2 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.2 | |
| Shots faced | 6 | 10 | |
| xG per shot | 0.22 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 69% | 58.8% | |
| Passes | 698 | 545.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 88.8% | |
| Corners | 2 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 11.2 | |
Lecce
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 0.21 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 2.19 | 2.4 | |
| Shots | 6 | 10.8 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.6 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 17 | |
| xG per shot | 0.03 | 0.14 | |
| Possession | 31% | 43.4% | |
| Passes | 306 | 376.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 78% | |
| Corners | 3 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 11.4 | |
Timeline
- 14'
Goal
Christian Pulisic league goal #1 assist Strahinja Pavlović
- 46'
Sub
Nikola Štulić → Paco Esteban
- 58'
Yellow
Danilo Veiga
- 61'
Goal
Adrien Rabiot league goal #2 assist Gonçalo Ramos
- 70'
Sub
Christian Pulisic → Ruben Loftus-Cheek
- 70'
Sub
Alexis Saelemaekers → Diego Moreira
- 70'
Sub
Ivan Ilić → Mohamed Kaba
- 70'
Sub
Youssef Maleh → Oumar Ngom
- 70'
Sub
Joël Monteiro → Amar Fatah
- 73'
Goal
Diego Moreira league goal #3
- 76'
Sub
Pervis Estupiñán → Davide Bartesaghi
- 76'
Sub
Luka Modrić → Yunus Musah
- 82'
Sub
Santiago Pierotti → Konan N'Dri
- 89'
Sub
Samuel Chukwueze → Francesco Camarda
Category leaders
- Key passesChristian Pulisic2
- Duels wonAlexis Saelemaekers10/15
- DribblesDiego Moreira3/3
- Defensive actionsJamil Siebert8
- Fouls wonAlexis Saelemaekers4
#AC Milan#Lecce#Serie A#Strahinja Pavlović#Christian Pulisic#Adrien Rabiot
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.