Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburg: Muheim's late strike completes the turnaround
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG per shot 0.06, below the 0.1 average
- 90+4' winner worth +2.0 FN xPts
- Two goals conceded after the 65' red
Hoffenheim had the ball, Hamburg the points
Hamburg came from 2-1 down to win 3-2 at Hoffenheim. The hosts had 64% of possession and 17 shots, but their xG per shot of 0.06 sat below the 0.1 average from their six matches this season.
Two goals after the red card settled it
After Bernardo was sent off in the 65th minute, Terem Moffi levelled in the 83rd and Miro Muheim struck deep into stoppage time. His goal was worth +2.0 FN xPts, and he had set up Moffi's equaliser after coming on in the 41st minute.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Miro Muheim 8.7Dominant
He scored once, assisted once and created three chances in 49 minutes as a substitute.
Muheim built his score through attacking output, setting up Moffi's equaliser in the 83rd minute before scoring himself deep into stoppage time. Both moments came against a Hoffenheim side down to ten, turning 2-2 into 3-2.
Game state
0-11-12-12-22-3
1899 Hoffenheim ahead 30 min · level 27 min · Hamburger SV ahead 33 min
- 1899 Hoffenheim: Red card 65' → ~25 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
12'
Yussuf Poulsen
Goal · TSG −0.7
+0.7
45+6'
Sebastiaan Bornauw
Own goal · TSG +0.8
−0.9
53'
Bambasé Conté
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Fisnik Asllani +0.3 · HSV −0.7
+0.9
65'
Bernardo
Red card · HSV +0.1
−0.2
83'
Terem Moffi
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Miro Muheim +0.3 · TSG −1.6
+1.0
90+4'
Miro Muheim
Goal · TSG −1.0
+2.0
1899 Hoffenheim
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −2.5Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Hamburger SV
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +2.8Opponent moments −0.6Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV
1.09Expected goals (xG)1.15
Compared with usual
1899 Hoffenheim
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | |
| xG | 1.09 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 1.15 | 1.7 | |
| Shots | 17 | 20.8 | |
| On target | 4 | 6.2 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 12 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 64% | 60% | |
| Passes | 542 | 527.8 | |
| Corners | 7 | 8.3 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 14.2 | |
Hamburger SV
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2.6 | |
| xG | 1.15 | 0.91 | |
| xG against | 1.09 | 2 | |
| Shots | 14 | 9.6 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.2 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 17.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 36% | 42% | |
| Passes | 306 | 378.2 | |
| Corners | 3 | 3.2 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 13.8 | |
Timeline
- 12'
Goal
Yussuf Poulsen league goal #2
- 41'
Sub
Nicolai Remberg → Miro Muheim
- 45+3'
VAR
Bambasé Conté
- 45+6'
Goal
Sebastiaan Bornauw (OG)
- 53'
Goal
Bambasé Conté league goal #1 assist Fisnik Asllani
- 55'
Yellow
Bernardo
- 59'
Sub
Yussuf Poulsen → Otto Emerson Stange
- 63'
Sub
Fisnik Asllani → Andrej Kramarić
- 63'
Sub
Tim Lemperle → Adam Hložek
- 65'
Red
Bernardo
- 74'
Sub
Koki Machida → Robin Hranáč
- 74'
Sub
Adam Daghim → Alexander Prass
- 76'
Sub
Louis Lemke → Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
- 76'
Sub
Martin Adeline → Terem Moffi
- 76'
Sub
Albert Sambi Lokonga → Kofi Jeremy Amoako
- 80'
Yellow
Leon Avdullahu
- 81'
VAR
Otto Emerson Stange
- 83'
Goal
Terem Moffi league goal #1 assist Miro Muheim
- 87'
Sub
Bambasé Conté → Valentin Gendrey
- 90+4'
Goal
Miro Muheim league goal #1
Category leaders
- Key passesVladimír Coufal4
- Duels wonBambasé Conté12/19
- DribblesBambasé Conté6/8
- Defensive actionsNicolás Capaldo7
- ShotsFábio Vieira5 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonDavid Møller Wolfe3
#Bundesliga#Hoffenheim#Hamburg#Miro Muheim#Bambasé Conté#Terem Moffi
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.