Augsburg 2-2 Bayern Munich: Dahmen's eight saves earn a point
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 5.08 v 2.45: the better chances were Bayern's
- Dahmen saved 8 of 10 shots on target
- Augsburg led for about 70 minutes
Augsburg in front for most of the match
Robin Fellhauer put Augsburg ahead in the first minute, his third league goal of the season, and the hosts spent about 70 minutes in front. Bayern Munich needed two second-half equalisers to draw level, so the point was earned from behind. Augsburg's lead was the story of the match, even if they could not see it out.
Bayern's numbers were far from normal
Bayern Munich's xG of 5.08 was well above their season average from six matches. Possession matched their norm, yet they allowed far more shots than usual, which suggests the same approach left them more exposed at the back than they are used to. They also conceded more goals than their average.
Dahmen kept the hosts in it
Augsburg saw little of the ball, yet their xG per shot was higher than their average across five matches this season, which points to chances of decent quality. At the other end, Finn Dahmen saved eight of the ten shots Bayern Munich put on target. Dahmen's saves are why the lead lasted as long as it did.
Brown answered Ribeiro to level it again
Rodrigo Ribeiro, brought into the starting XI for this match, restored Augsburg's lead in the 64th minute with a goal worth +1.1 FN xPts because it turned a draw into a lead. Substitute Nathaniel Brown all but cancelled that out with his equaliser in the 80th minute, and Harry Kane provided the assist for both Bayern goals.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Michael Olise 8.2Dominant
He had five shots (three on target) and created five chances for Bayern Munich.
Michael Olise tried 12 dribbles, completing four, and won eight of 20 duels, a heavy workload for a side that trailed for about 70 minutes. He played all 90 minutes as Bayern chased the match, and still drew three fouls, the most on either side.
Game state
1-01-12-12-2
FC Augsburg ahead 70 min · level 20 min · Bayern München ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
1'
Robin Fellhauer
Goal · FCB −0.6
+0.5
55'
Ismael Saibari
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Harry Kane +0.3 · FCA −1.0
+0.9
64'
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Goal · FCB −1.0
+1.1
80'
Nathaniel Brown
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Harry Kane +0.3 · FCA −1.5
+1.1
FC Augsburg
Expected (last two seasons) 0.5Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −2.5Time effect +1.4→ League points won 1
Bayern München
Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −1.7→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
FC AugsburgBayern München
2.45Expected goals (xG)5.08
Compared with usual
FC Augsburg
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.6 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.45 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 5.08 | 2.4 | |
| Shots | 12 | 15.2 | |
| On target | 5 | 7.2 | |
| Shots faced | 29 | 20.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.2 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 30% | 39.8% | |
| Passes | 286 | 351.2 | |
| Corners | 5 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 9.8 | |
Bayern München
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.5 | |
| xG | 5.08 | 3.1 | |
| xG against | 2.45 | 0.57 | |
| Shots | 29 | 22.3 | |
| On target | 10 | 9.3 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 5.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.18 | 0.15 | |
| Possession | 70% | 69.2% | |
| Passes | 647 | 734 | |
| Corners | 9 | 8.7 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 9.3 | |
Timeline
- 1'
Goal
Robin Fellhauer league goal #3
- 42'
Yellow
Chrislain Matsima
- 43'
Yellow
Rodrigo Ribeiro
- 51'
VAR
Luis Díaz
- 55'
Goal
Ismael Saibari league goal #2 assist Harry Kane
- 62'
Yellow
Hennes Behrens
- 62'
Sub
Seol Young-Woo → Anton Kade
- 64'
Goal
Rodrigo Ribeiro league goal #2
- 67'
Sub
Josip Stanišić → Nathaniel Brown
- 67'
Sub
Ismael Saibari → Serge Gnabry
- 75'
Sub
Rodrigo Ribeiro → Mert Kömür
- 80'
Goal
Nathaniel Brown league goal #1 assist Harry Kane
- 82'
Sub
Arijon Ibrahimović → Michael Gregoritsch
- 82'
Sub
Abdulay Bah → Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
- 87'
Sub
Aleksandar Pavlović → Tom Bischof
- 87'
Sub
Luis Díaz → Lennart Karl
Category leaders
- Key passesMichael Olise5
- Duels wonFabian Rieder9/11
- DribblesMichael Olise4/12
- Defensive actionsHennes Behrens7
- ShotsHarry Kane8 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonMichael Olise3
#Bundesliga#FC Augsburg#Bayern Munich#Harry Kane#Michael Olise#Finn Dahmen
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.