Serie A · Matchweek 6
Milutin Osmajić 7'
Junior Messias 15'
HT 2:0
Johan Vásquez 73' (OG)
Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 (UK) · Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Genoa 19th → 17th · 4 pts|Fiorentina 17th → 18th · 4 pts

Genoa struck twice in the opening 15 minutes and survived a late own goal to beat Fiorentina despite seeing far less of the ball.

FN MOMMilutin Osmajić8.1Decisive moment7' Milutin Osmajić+0.7FIO −0.6

Genoa 2-1 Fiorentina: two early goals hold firm

Key numbers

  • 37% possession, yet Genoa won
  • 0.14 xG per shot vs 0.08
  • 83 minutes in front, one goal conceded

Early goals, then a long lead to protect

Genoa beat Fiorentina 2-1 by striking twice early, then protecting that lead for 83 minutes. They saw far less of the ball than the visitors, yet their shots were worth 0.14 xG each, higher than Fiorentina's. Fewer touches, it seems, carried more threat.

An own goal made it tense, nothing more

Two early goals shaped the match. Milutin Osmajić's opener, set up by Mikael Ellertsson, was worth +0.7 FN xPts, and Junior Messias's second added +0.6. Johan Vásquez's own goal in the 73rd minute pulled one back, but Fiorentina found no equaliser.

FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Milutin Osmajić 8.1Dominant

He scored once, assisted once, created two chances and drew four fouls.

Osmajić was involved in both of Genoa's goals, scoring in the 7th minute and setting up Messias in the 15th, which put the side two clear before Fiorentina had settled. His four fouls drawn also gave a side with little possession a way to relieve pressure.

Game state

1-02-02-1
Genoa ahead 83 min · level 7 min · Fiorentina ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.

7' Milutin Osmajić Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Mikael Ellertsson +0.2 · FIO −0.6 +0.7
15' Junior Messias Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Milutin Osmajić +0.2 · FIO −0.5 +0.6
73' Johan Vásquez Own goal · FIO +0.3 −0.4
Genoa Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +0.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.8→ League points won 3
Fiorentina Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

GenoaFiorentina
37%Possession63%
1.41Expected goals (xG)0.96
0.14xG per shot0.08
10Shots12
4Shots on target3
40%Shots on target %25%
7Shots in box9
274Passes477
3Corners4
3Saves2
11Fouls10
5Yellow cards3
2Offsides2

Compared with usual

Genoa

7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.1
Conceded11.6
xG1.410.89
xG against0.961.3
Shots1015.7
On target44.4
Shots faced1213.3
xG per shot0.140.07
Possession37%47.3%
Passes274416.7
Corners36.1
Fouls1110

Fiorentina

7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.9
Conceded21.9
xG0.961.7
xG against1.411.3
Shots1215.9
On target36
Shots faced1011.4
xG per shot0.080.1
Possession63%44.1%
Passes477401
Corners44.1
Fouls1011.3

Timeline

  • 7' Goal Milutin Osmajić league goal #3 assist Mikael Ellertsson
  • 15' Yellow Luca Ranieri
  • 15' Goal Junior Messias league goal #1 assist Milutin Osmajić
  • 21' Yellow Christ Inao Oulaï
  • 45' Sub Christ Inao Oulaï → Alieu Njie
  • 45' Sub Luca Ranieri → Viery
  • 57' Sub Junior Messias → Vítinha
  • 57' Sub Stephan El Shaarawy → Samuel Wiafe
  • 60' Yellow Viery
  • 65' Sub Beto → Mateo Pellegrino
  • 66' Sub Sebastian Otoa → Alessandro Marcandalli
  • 73' Goal Johan Vásquez (OG)
  • 74' Yellow Hamed Junior Traorè
  • 80' Sub Álex Jiménez → Dodô
  • 81' Sub Wilfried Gnonto → Pote
  • 81' Sub Kingsley Ehizibue → David Puczka
  • 82' Sub Mikael Ellertsson → Stefano Sabelli
  • 84' Yellow Johan Vásquez
  • 85' Yellow Samuel Wiafe
  • 90+1' Yellow Vítinha
  • 90+5' Yellow Stefano Sabelli

Category leaders

  • Key passesMikael Ellertsson3
  • Duels wonFranco Mastantuono11/20
  • DribblesMikael Ellertsson3/3
  • Defensive actionsFranco Mastantuono8
  • ShotsStephan El Shaarawy3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonMilutin Osmajić4
#Genoa#Fiorentina#Serie A#Milutin Osmajić#Junior Messias#Mikael Ellertsson

This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.