Ipswich 2-1 Fulham: two late goals turn it round
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 1.22 v 1.87: Fulham had the better chances
- Goals in the 88th and 90th+1 minutes
- O'Shea's winner worth +1.9 FN xPts
Three goals, all from defenders
All three goals came from defenders. Ryan Sessegnon put Fulham ahead in the 55th minute, and Ipswich needed until the 88th minute to respond through Abdoul Ouattara. Dara O'Shea then completed the turnaround deep into stoppage time, in the 91st minute by the clock.
Fulham created more but scored once
Fulham's xG of 1.87 was well above Ipswich's 1.22, yet they scored only once. Both sides managed five shots on target, so the gap lay in finishing, not volume. Fulham also had fewer attempts than their average across seven matches this season.
New starters helped Ipswich keep it tight
Ipswich brought in Florentino, Daizen Maeda and Jaden Philogene-Bidace as new starters. The 13 shots they conceded were fewer than their seven-match average this season. Florentino made three tackles before he was replaced in the 63rd minute, helping shield the back line.
Winner arrived when the scores were level
Ouattara's equaliser in the 88th minute was worth +0.9 FN xPts. O'Shea's winner moved Ipswich from level to ahead, and was worth +1.9 FN xPts. Jack Clarke, introduced in the 63rd minute, provided the assist, and Ipswich had spent roughly 33 minutes behind before turning the match.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Dara O'Shea 7.9Strong
He scored the 90+1' winner from Jack Clarke's assist and completed 53 of 63 passes.
Most of O'Shea's value came from the stoppage-time goal, which turned a level match into a win. He also won six of 13 duels and made two interceptions, so his influence stretched well beyond the finish. It capped a late surge that began with the equaliser.
Game state
0-11-12-1
Ipswich ahead 0 min · level 57 min · Fulham ahead 33 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
55'
Ryan Sessegnon
Goal · IPS −0.7
+1.0
88'
Abdoul Ouattara
Goal · FUL −1.7
+0.9
90+1'
Dara O'Shea
Goal · scorer +1.3 · assist Jack Clarke +0.6 · FUL −1.0
+1.9
Ipswich
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +2.8Opponent moments −0.7Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Fulham
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −2.7Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
IpswichFulham
1.22Expected goals (xG)1.87
Compared with usual
Ipswich
7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2.3 | |
| xG | 1.22 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.87 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 11 | 11.6 | |
| On target | 5 | 5 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 17.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.14 | |
| Possession | 48% | 44.1% | |
| Passes | 453 | 400.4 | |
| Corners | 2 | 3.7 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 11.4 | |
Fulham
7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 1.87 | 2 | |
| xG against | 1.22 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 13 | 16.1 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 14.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 52% | 58.4% | |
| Passes | 504 | 594.3 | |
| Corners | 5 | 6 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 9 | |
Timeline
- 19'
Yellow
Leif Davis
- 44'
Yellow
Joshua King
- 51'
Yellow
Calvin Bassey
- 55'
Goal
Ryan Sessegnon league goal #1
- 63'
Sub
Jaden Philogene-Bidace → Jack Clarke
- 63'
Sub
Florentino → Exequiel Palacios
- 71'
Sub
Shea Charles → Manuel Ángel
- 71'
Sub
Emersonn → Zian Flemming
- 71'
Sub
Julio Enciso → Chuba Akpom
- 76'
Sub
Joshua King → Rodrigo Muniz
- 76'
Sub
Oscar Bobb → Kevin
- 81'
Sub
Daizen Maeda → Sindre Walle Egeli
- 84'
Yellow
Manuel Ángel
- 87'
Sub
Gonzalo García → Hugo Larsson
- 87'
Sub
Alex Iwobi → Emile Smith Rowe
- 88'
Goal
Abdoul Ouattara league goal #1
- 90+1'
Goal
Dara O'Shea league goal #1 assist Jack Clarke
- 90+4'
Yellow
Emile Smith Rowe
Category leaders
- Key passesAlex Iwobi3
- Duels wonCalvin Bassey9/15
- DribblesJulio Enciso2/4
- Defensive actionsDavid Affengruber6
- ShotsRyan Sessegnon3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonOscar Bobb4
#Ipswich#Fulham#Premier League#Dara O'Shea#Abdoul Ouattara#Ryan Sessegnon
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.