Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg: a late Burcu goal and a tight back line
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- Seven shots faced; season average 18.2
- 81': Burcu goal worth +1.5 FN xPts
- xG 0.28 vs a 1.4 average over five matches
Less possession, far more threat
Union Berlin beat Elversberg 1-0 even though the visitors had more of the ball. The hosts were the more dangerous side, with 19 shots to seven and an xG of 1.59 against 0.28. It stayed goalless until the closing stages.
A late goal behind a back line that held
Burcu's 81st-minute goal was worth +1.5 FN xPts, turning a goalless draw into a lead. Substitute Livan Burcu had been on since the 58th minute. Zeno Van Den Bosch had made four tackles and four interceptions at the back, and Elversberg's seven shots compared with the 18.2 Union Berlin have faced on average this season.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Zeno Van Den Bosch 8.3Dominant
Four tackles, four interceptions and 11 of 13 duels won.
Van Den Bosch stopped Elversberg's attacks from developing in a match where the visitors had more possession, helping hold it at 0-0 for 81 minutes. That platform let Burcu's goal settle the match, and the defender also won 11 of his 13 duels.
Game state
1-0
Union Berlin ahead 9 min · level 81 min · SV Elversberg ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
81'
Livan Burcu
Goal · SVE −0.9
+1.5
Union Berlin
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.5Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
SV Elversberg
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Union BerlinSV Elversberg
1.59Expected goals (xG)0.28
Compared with usual
Union Berlin
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3.8 | |
| xG | 1.59 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 0.28 | 2.7 | |
| Shots | 19 | 12.8 | |
| On target | 7 | 6 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 18.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 43% | 44% | |
| Passes | 324 | 352.2 | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.2 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 12.2 | |
SV Elversberg
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.28 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.59 | 2 | |
| Shots | 7 | 11.2 | |
| On target | 2 | 4.8 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 20 | |
| xG per shot | 0.04 | 0.14 | |
| Possession | 57% | 46% | |
| Passes | 452 | 409.6 | |
| Corners | 3 | 3.6 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 11 | |
Timeline
- 7'
Yellow
Janik Haberer
- 21'
Yellow
Tim Skarke
- 58'
Sub
Kastriot Imeri → Livan Burcu
- 59'
Sub
Tom Zimmerschied → Maurice Krattenmacher
- 70'
Sub
Noel Futkeu → William Cole Campbell
- 71'
Sub
Lasse Günther → Nicholas Mickelson
- 71'
Sub
Noah Darvich → David Mokwa
- 77'
Sub
Michel Aebischer → Christopher Trimmel
- 78'
Sub
Tim Skarke → Oliver Burke
- 78'
Sub
Jeong Woo-Yeong → M. Gray
- 81'
Goal
Livan Burcu league goal #1
- 86'
Sub
Luca Sirch → Frederik Schmahl
- 90+2'
Yellow
Maurice Krattenmacher
- 90+2'
Sub
András Schäfer → Aljoscha Kemlein
Category leaders
- Key passesMichel Aebischer2
- Duels wonLukas Finn Pinckert12/14
- DribblesLivan Burcu2/2
- Defensive actionsZeno Van Den Bosch8
- ShotsLivan Burcu3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonZeno Van Den Bosch3
#Bundesliga#Union Berlin#Elversberg#Livan Burcu#Zeno Van Den Bosch#Matchweek 5
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.