Serie A · Matchweek 6
3:1
Nuno Tavares 3'
Gustav Isaksen 23'
Andrea Pinamonti 88'
HT 2:0
Saba Goglichidze 46'
Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 (UK) · Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Lazio 3rd → 2nd · 16 pts|Monza 15th · 4 pts

Lazio led inside four minutes and never let the match slip, beating Monza 3-1 despite losing the xG battle.

FN MOMTijjani Noslin8.3Decisive moment3' Nuno Tavares+0.5MON −0.4

Lazio 3-1 Monza: Noslin's two assists set the tone

Key numbers

  • 7 shots on target vs a 3.7 average over 6 games
  • 1.59 xG, three goals: 1.41 above expectation
  • Red card in the 35th minute left Monza short

Two early goals, both from Noslin

Lazio beat Monza 3-1 at the Stadio Olimpico, and the match was effectively set up inside 23 minutes. Nuno Tavares scored in the third minute and Gustav Isaksen added a second in the 23rd, both created by Tijjani Noslin's assists. Lazio led for roughly 87 minutes.

Lazio finished better than the xG says

Monza had the higher xG, but Lazio outperformed theirs by 1.41. Tavares's opener was worth +0.5 FN xPts, and Monza lost Lorenzo Lucchesi to a red card in the 35th minute. Saba Goglichidze pulled one back in the 46th minute, but Andrea Pinamonti's 88th-minute goal made it 3-1.

FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Tijjani Noslin 8.3Dominant

He provided two assists and three key passes.

Noslin completed 31 of his 32 passes and created both the opener and the second goal, which came before the 23rd minute. Those early goals let Lazio manage the match from in front for most of the 90.

Game state

1-02-02-13-1
Lazio ahead 87 min · level 3 min · Monza ahead 0 min
  • Monza: Red card 35' → ~55 min a player down

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.

3' Nuno Tavares Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Tijjani Noslin +0.2 · MON −0.4 +0.5
23' Gustav Isaksen Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Tijjani Noslin +0.1 · MON −0.2 +0.3
35' Lorenzo Lucchesi Red card · LAZ +0.1 −0.1
46' Saba Goglichidze Goal · assist Dany Mota · LAZ −0.2 +0.1
88' Andrea Pinamonti Goal · assist Pedraza · MON 0.0 +0.1
Lazio Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −0.1Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Monza Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

LazioMonza
66%Possession34%
1.59Expected goals (xG)1.91
0.09xG per shot0.14
17Shots14
7Shots on target6
41%Shots on target %43%
8Shots in box10
596Passes299
7Corners6
5Saves4
10Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
0Offsides2

Compared with usual

Lazio

6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.3
Conceded10.83
xG1.591.5
xG against1.911.2
Shots1714.2
On target73.7
Shots faced1412.8
xG per shot0.090.13
Possession66%50.3%
Passes596467.3
Corners74.8
Fouls1013.8

Monza

7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.7
Conceded31.7
xG1.911.8
xG against1.591.1
Shots1416.1
On target66.1
Shots faced1711.6
xG per shot0.140.13
Possession34%47.6%
Passes299397.4
Corners65
Fouls912.9

Timeline

  • 3' Goal Nuno Tavares league goal #1 assist Tijjani Noslin
  • 13' Yellow Andrea Carboni
  • 23' Goal Gustav Isaksen league goal #1 assist Tijjani Noslin
  • 35' Red Lorenzo Lucchesi
  • 36' Sub Cyril Ngonge → Saba Goglichidze
  • 45' Sub Michael Folorunsho → Manga Foe Ondoa
  • 45' Sub Exequiel Zeballos → Dany Mota
  • 45' Sub Andrea Carboni → Yvan Maye
  • 45+2' Yellow Danilho Doekhi
  • 46' Goal Saba Goglichidze league goal #1 assist Dany Mota
  • 53' Sub Danilho Doekhi → Diogo Leite
  • 55' Yellow Oliver Provstgaard
  • 60' Sub Davide Frattesi → Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
  • 60' Sub Oliver Provstgaard → Josip Šutalo
  • 68' Yellow Diogo Leite
  • 70' Sub Ricardo Mangas → Adam Bakoune
  • 75' Sub Tijjani Noslin → Andrea Pinamonti
  • 75' Sub Nuno Tavares → Pedraza
  • 79' Yellow Ivan Juric (coaching staff)
  • 88' Goal Andrea Pinamonti league goal #1 assist Pedraza

Category leaders

  • Key passesTijjani Noslin3
  • Duels wonDany Mota9/14
  • DribblesExequiel Zeballos3/3
  • Defensive actionsEddy Kouadio8
  • ShotsDany Mota5 (on target 4)
  • Fouls wonMattia Zaccagni3
#Lazio#Monza#Serie A#Tijjani Noslin#Nuno Tavares#Andrea Pinamonti

This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.