Lorient 1-0 Paris FC: fewer shots, one decisive goal
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 40% possession: Lorient won with less of the ball
- Shots 8 v 16: Paris had twice as many
- +1.2 FN xPts for the 68' winner
Lorient win without the ball
Lorient beat Paris FC 1-0 despite having just 40% of the ball and half as many shots, 8 to 16. Paris won nine corners, against an average of three across their previous five matches this season, yet only three of their 16 efforts tested the goalkeeper.
A substitute breaks the deadlock
The match turned in the 68th minute, when substitute Gabin Bernardeau finished from Jean Victor Makengo's assist. The goal was worth +1.2 FN xPts. Paris averaged only 0.04 xG per shot, which suggests their volume of attempts rarely turned into anything dangerous enough to force an equaliser.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Jean Victor Makengo 8.2Dominant
He played 90 minutes, supplied the assist, put two shots on target and won 8 of 12 duels.
With Lorient short of possession, Makengo's four successful dribbles from six attempts helped carry the ball forward. That work fed directly into the 68th-minute winner.
Game state
1-0
Lorient ahead 22 min · level 68 min · Paris FC ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
68'
Gabin Bernardeau
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Jean Victor Makengo +0.3 · PFC −0.8
+1.1
Lorient
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.1Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Paris FC
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
LorientParis FC
0.53Expected goals (xG)0.71
Compared with usual
Lorient
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 0.53 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.71 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 8 | 10.4 | |
| On target | 5 | 3.2 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 13.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 40% | 48% | |
| Passes | 467 | 489.4 | |
| Corners | 3 | 2.4 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 9.2 | |
Paris FC
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.6 | |
| xG | 0.71 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 0.53 | 0.67 | |
| Shots | 16 | 13.2 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 9.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.04 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 60% | 49.8% | |
| Passes | 697 | 566.8 | |
| Corners | 9 | 3 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 13.8 | |
Timeline
- 52'
Yellow
Lassine Sinayoko
- 58'
Yellow
Samir Chergui
- 58'
Yellow
Hamari Traoré
- 65'
Sub
Adama Camara → Rudy Matondo
- 65'
Sub
Ilan Kebbal → Patrick Zabi
- 66'
Sub
Samir Chergui → Otávio
- 66'
Sub
Mamadou Koné → Ibrahima Baldé
- 66'
Sub
Isak Jensen → Gabin Bernardeau
- 68'
Goal
Gabin Bernardeau league goal #1 assist Jean Victor Makengo
- 70'
Yellow
Montassar Talbi
- 74'
Yellow
Patrick Zabi
- 78'
Sub
Pierre Lees Melou → Omar Sissoko
- 78'
Sub
Alec Georgen → Arthur Avom Ebong
- 86'
Sub
Lassine Sinayoko → Jean-Philippe Krasso
- 87'
Sub
Isaak Touré → Nosa Edward Obaretin
- 90+2'
Yellow
Maxime López
- 90+6'
Yellow
A. Dujeux (coaching staff)
Category leaders
- Key passesHamari Traoré2
- Duels wonIsaak Touré9/12
- DribblesJean Victor Makengo4/6
- Defensive actionsArsène Kouassi6
- ShotsPablo Pagis4 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonNoah Cadiou3
#Lorient#Paris FC#Ligue 1#Jean Victor Makengo#Gabin Bernardeau#Matchweek 6
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.